TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Magic: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Magicof Timberwolves, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,469
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,469 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Timberwolves24c1,392$341 inLost-$340.691,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Magic68c897.25$614 inWon+$282.865,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Timberwolves32c829.48$262 inLost-$262.1666352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Magic71c712.76$508 inWon+$205.071850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Magic73c491.9$359 inWon+$132.815425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Timberwolves34c480.2$163 inLost-$163.278154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Magic69c298.35$206 inWon+$92.493773%27 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Magic69c170.92$118 inWon+$52.982,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Timberwolves32c150.89$48 inLost-$48.2919650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Timberwolves31c136.23$42 inLost-$42.1826545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Timberwolves22c127$28 inLost-$28.481,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Magic69c125.78$87 inWon+$38.411,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Timberwolves28c95.69$27 inLost-$26.7621848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Magic73c94.03$68 inWon+$25.8138736.4%141 W · 246 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Magic63c75.01$47 inWon+$27.751,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Magic69c70.36$49 inWon+$21.8137848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Magic68c65.54$45 inWon+$20.9793145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x091a…db09backed Timberwolves31c61.85$19 inLost-$19.173177.4%24 W · 7 L+7.6wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+37%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Timberwolves26c61$16 inLost-$15.862,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8de…a2b8backed Magic72c60.02$43 inWon+$16.683933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Magic69c35.56$25 inWon+$11.0230055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Magic70c35.35$25 inWon+$10.6143052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Magic69c29.02$20 inWon+$8.9942352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2996…73debacked Magic58c25.21$15 inWon+$10.5913744.5%61 W · 76 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7346…5cf8backed Magic68c20.4$14 inWon+$6.64254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.