Tennis · resolved market
Vancouver: Mark Lajal vs Braden Shick
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3c10bf9fcfbba2fb10ebf3120108d913ad0cbb25e3925246d0dc02efaae4ba3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mark Lajalof Mark Lajal, Braden Shick
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $590,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $528,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $590,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Braden Shick | 21c | 277,356$56,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,934.88 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Braden Shick | 2c | 47,061$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.91 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Mark Lajal | 79c | 37,770$29,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,978.93 | 1,143 | 46.4%530 W · 613 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Mark Lajal | 77c | 25,000$19,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,750 | 619 | 40.7%252 W · 367 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mark Lajal | 79c | 22,388$17,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,647 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Braden Shick | 14c | 20,078$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.05 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Braden Shick | 9c | 5,379$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 952 | 8.1%77 W · 875 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Braden Shick | 18c | 4,409$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…0619backed Braden Shick | 29c | 2,583$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.01 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mark Lajal | 78c | 2,435$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.31 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Braden Shick | 2c | 2,274$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 361 | 46.3%167 W · 194 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Braden Shick | 2c | 2,257$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 663 | 47.1%312 W · 351 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…f991backed Braden Shick | 11c | 1,500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Braden Shick | 7c | 1,500$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.65 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Braden Shick | 28c | 1,453$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.72 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1ce0backed Mark Lajal | 76c | 1,317$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.7 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Braden Shick | 12c | 1,313$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.04 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…a47dbacked Braden Shick | 17c | 1,183$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.15 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Braden Shick | 15c | 1,181$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.72 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mark Lajal | 80c | 846$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed Braden Shick | 11c | 705.44$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…16a8backed Braden Shick | 11c | 705.43$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mark Lajal | 76c | 480$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Braden Shick | 21c | 400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 943 | 47.7%450 W · 493 L | +35.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Mark Lajal | 65c | 400$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Braden Shick | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,563 | 40%625 W · 938 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0d…6b6abacked Braden Shick | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Mark Lajal | 64c | 283$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Mark Lajal | 64c | 283$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Mark Lajal | 64c | 283$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Braden Shick | 28c | 267.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 904 | 54.4%492 W · 412 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Mark Lajal | 64c | 260$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.4 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mark Lajal | 72c | 243$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Mark Lajal | 73c | 205.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Mark Lajal | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc806…57c6backed Mark Lajal | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Mark Lajal | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…ad6ebacked Mark Lajal | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…d360backed Mark Lajal | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed Mark Lajal | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9845…9d6fbacked Mark Lajal | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…7eb9backed Mark Lajal | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Mark Lajal | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…bf8ebacked Mark Lajal | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…0ac2backed Mark Lajal | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…d485backed Mark Lajal | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Braden Shick | 28c | 152.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Mark Lajal | 70c | 142.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Mark Lajal | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea53…e1ebbacked Braden Shick | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Mark Lajal | 72c | 118$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Braden Shick | 16c | 110.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 248 | 58.5%145 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Mark Lajal | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Braden Shick | 16c | 97.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Mark Lajal | 73c | 95.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Mark Lajal | 73c | 91.41$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 141 | 70.9%100 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…e893backed Braden Shick | 17c | 89.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Braden Shick | 16c | 78.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1,371 | 44.5%610 W · 761 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mark Lajal | 78c | 71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Mark Lajal | 73c | 61.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed Mark Lajal | 70c | 42.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked Mark Lajal | 70c | 42.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…60f0backed Mark Lajal | 70c | 42.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…90b2backed Mark Lajal | 70c | 42.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Mark Lajal | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Mark Lajal | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…f1eabacked Mark Lajal | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Mark Lajal | 63c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 266 | 40.6%108 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Mark Lajal | 73c | 32.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…dddabacked Mark Lajal | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Mark Lajal | 74c | 25.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Mark Lajal | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Mark Lajal | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 345 | 29.3%101 W · 244 L | -35.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…7379backed Mark Lajal | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 179 | 68.7%123 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Mark Lajal | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 267 | 64.8%173 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vancouver: Mark Lajal vs Braden Shickthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Lajal vs ShickLajal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.