Tennis · resolved market
Liberec: Norbert Gombos vs Matyas Cerny
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65a0d0187dfa4a0585ae902f21fafacaa7c489719cd95e9a9340b7b420f5f94a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norbert Gombosof Norbert Gombos, Matyas Cerny
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Norbert Gombos | 73c | 3,968$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.22 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Matyas Cerny | 27c | 3,592$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.89 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Matyas Cerny | 37c | 2,669$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.06 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Matyas Cerny | 16c | 2,248$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.78 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…4c29backed Matyas Cerny | 14c | 999.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Norbert Gombos | 74c | 927.08$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.99 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Norbert Gombos | 66c | 793.13$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.87 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Matyas Cerny | 2c | 687.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 278 | 36.7%102 W · 176 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…6e6fbacked Matyas Cerny | 20c | 550.61$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.74 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Matyas Cerny | 12c | 490.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Norbert Gombos | 70c | 484.06$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.46 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Matyas Cerny | 19c | 446.25$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.05 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Norbert Gombos | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Norbert Gombos | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Norbert Gombos | 59c | 309.74$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.99 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Norbert Gombos | 73c | 300$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Matyas Cerny | 42c | 298.75$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Matyas Cerny | 25c | 249.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5236…dadabacked Matyas Cerny | 14c | 214.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Matyas Cerny | 13c | 201.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…d00fbacked Matyas Cerny | 15c | 188$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Matyas Cerny | 18c | 182.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Norbert Gombos | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 218 | 42.2%92 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Matyas Cerny | 25c | 156.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0d…6b6abacked Matyas Cerny | 7c | 155.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Norbert Gombos | 77c | 134.7$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…f9bbbacked Matyas Cerny | 23c | 128.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked Matyas Cerny | 15c | 126.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Norbert Gombos | 80c | 102.4$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Norbert Gombos | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Norbert Gombos | 79c | 99.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Norbert Gombos | 77c | 96.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Matyas Cerny | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 187 | 31%58 W · 129 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Matyas Cerny | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 507 | 36.1%183 W · 324 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42f5…56efbacked Norbert Gombos | 61c | 82.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Matyas Cerny | 21c | 66.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Matyas Cerny | 31c | 64.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Matyas Cerny | 28c | 62.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Norbert Gombos | 74c | 53.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…5e19backed Norbert Gombos | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Norbert Gombos | 65c | 49.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Norbert Gombos | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Matyas Cerny | 30c | 34.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Norbert Gombos | 79c | 32.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…b79fbacked Norbert Gombos | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 98 | 67.3%66 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Norbert Gombos | 68c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Norbert Gombos | 75c | 13.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Norbert Gombos | 78c | 13.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.