Tennis · resolved market
ITF Lexington: Hanna Chang vs Jantje Tilbuerger
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa538caa15190d38ee2572abd19924b8fca58c41ae2f944e58f261108b63175e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanna Changof Hanna Chang, Jantje Tilbuerger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hanna Chang | 78c | 4,678$3,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.32 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jantje Tilbuerger | 20c | 4,272$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.7 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jantje Tilbuerger | 19c | 2,448$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.69 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jantje Tilbuerger | 16c | 1,578$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.95 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jantje Tilbuerger | 16c | 818.21$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.99 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0d…6b6abacked Jantje Tilbuerger | 2c | 650$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Hanna Chang | 75c | 558$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Hanna Chang | 74c | 319.57$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.77 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Jantje Tilbuerger | 23c | 304.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Hanna Chang | 77c | 304$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.92 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Jantje Tilbuerger | 17c | 255.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Jantje Tilbuerger | 12c | 252.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Jantje Tilbuerger | 11c | 202$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Jantje Tilbuerger | 26c | 188$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Hanna Chang | 79c | 184.22$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Jantje Tilbuerger | 19c | 161.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Jantje Tilbuerger | 13c | 146.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jantje Tilbuerger | 20c | 115.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Hanna Chang | 80c | 115.17$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Jantje Tilbuerger | 13c | 105$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…9169backed Hanna Chang | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Jantje Tilbuerger | 20c | 88.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Hanna Chang | 77c | 86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Hanna Chang | 78c | 75.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Hanna Chang | 75c | 59.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Hanna Chang | 79c | 45.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Hanna Chang | 75c | 24.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Hanna Chang | 77c | 19.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.