Tennis · resolved market
Bonn: Johan Nikles vs Alex Barrena
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x210f37208313446dd01b70944f16ee29a04fae00d03d97183674918581984446
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Barrenaof Johan Nikles, Alex Barrena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $286,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $334,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Johan Nikles | 58c | 66,785$38,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,973.71 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f6…4488backed Johan Nikles | 19c | 7,895$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Johan Nikles | 58c | 6,951$4,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,026.9 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Johan Nikles | 20c | 4,851$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 721 | 29.7%214 W · 507 L | -41.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Johan Nikles | 26c | 3,998$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.45 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alex Barrena | 78c | 3,126$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.53 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Johan Nikles | 58c | 2,138$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.93 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Johan Nikles | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 378 | 49.2%186 W · 192 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Johan Nikles | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.66 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Johan Nikles | 58c | 1,538$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.82 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alex Barrena | 48c | 1,344$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.29 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Johan Nikles | 56c | 1,300$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Johan Nikles | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Johan Nikles | 62c | 1,000$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Alex Barrena | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 258 | 43.8%113 W · 145 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Johan Nikles | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Johan Nikles | 38c | 713.16$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Johan Nikles | 9c | 563.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 248 | 39.9%99 W · 149 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Johan Nikles | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Johan Nikles | 3c | 499.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Johan Nikles | 7c | 478.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Johan Nikles | 26c | 476.65$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.93 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Johan Nikles | 61c | 440.79$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.74 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…ac39backed Alex Barrena | 37c | 422.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.5 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Johan Nikles | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 367 | 40.6%149 W · 218 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…d9f1backed Johan Nikles | 30c | 301.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 167 | 26.3%44 W · 123 L | -18.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Johan Nikles | 58c | 220.7$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.01 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Johan Nikles | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Johan Nikles | 61c | 163.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.67 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Johan Nikles | 57c | 160$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.41 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Johan Nikles | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Alex Barrena | 71c | 151.75$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0d…6b6abacked Johan Nikles | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x062c…24d5backed Johan Nikles | 32c | 144.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…b723backed Alex Barrena | 78c | 138.8$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Johan Nikles | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…31bfbacked Alex Barrena | 71c | 130.03$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Johan Nikles | 28c | 121.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Johan Nikles | 60c | 115.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Johan Nikles | 61c | 113.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 549 | 55.2%303 W · 246 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Johan Nikles | 58c | 108.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Johan Nikles | 31c | 103.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Johan Nikles | 63c | 102.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Johan Nikles | 37c | 101.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 641 | 47.7%306 W · 335 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…6c17backed Alex Barrena | 76c | 100.26$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…3ff9backed Alex Barrena | 65c | 98.46$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Johan Nikles | 19c | 95.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Johan Nikles | 30c | 95.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Johan Nikles | 53c | 94.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Johan Nikles | 58c | 91.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Johan Nikles | 52c | 89.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Johan Nikles | 57c | 87.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Johan Nikles | 58c | 86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 1,877 | 59.4%1,115 W · 762 L | +8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…5696backed Alex Barrena | 38c | 84.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Johan Nikles | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Johan Nikles | 34c | 72.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 578 | 41%237 W · 341 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Johan Nikles | 32c | 72.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Johan Nikles | 60c | 68.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Johan Nikles | 37c | 64.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Alex Barrena | 49c | 63.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 610 | 62.8%383 W · 227 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Johan Nikles | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 516 | 36.2%187 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Johan Nikles | 61c | 59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…9223backed Alex Barrena | 55c | 57.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Johan Nikles | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alex Barrena | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Johan Nikles | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Alex Barrena | 49c | 44.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf8…5b60backed Alex Barrena | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Alex Barrena | 47c | 42.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Johan Nikles | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Alex Barrena | 42c | 40.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 602 | 41.2%248 W · 354 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Johan Nikles | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Johan Nikles | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Alex Barrena | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 395 | 60.3%238 W · 157 L | +28.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Johan Nikles | 50c | 35.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1,120 | 56.5%633 W · 487 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Johan Nikles | 31c | 33.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Alex Barrena | 69c | 33.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 208 | 66.3%138 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Johan Nikles | 39c | 33.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Alex Barrena | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 625 | 57.6%360 W · 265 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Johan Nikles | 37c | 29.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…f972backed Alex Barrena | 70c | 28.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Johan Nikles | 58c | 28.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Johan Nikles | 61c | 27.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Johan Nikles | 60c | 26.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Alex Barrena | 44c | 25.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alex Barrena | 42c | 24.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Johan Nikles | 58c | 22.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 331 | 65%215 W · 116 L | +22.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Johan Nikles | 46c | 22.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Johan Nikles | 59c | 21.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Johan Nikles | 54c | 21.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 297 | 52.9%157 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7d…ae38backed Johan Nikles | 58c | 20.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Alex Barrena | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alex Barrena | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Alex Barrena | 54c | 18.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bonn: Johan Nikles vs Alex Barrenathis page
- Nikles vs. Barrena: Match O/U 23.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.