TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8006…3ff9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Cricket, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT4247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenziebacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.98
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Arthur Fils vs Rafael Jodarbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bonn: Clement Tabur vs Henri Squirebacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Bonn: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Olle Wallin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+400%+$120
Bonn: Johan Nikles vs Alex Barrenabacked Alex Barrena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$34.46
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lanserebacked Irene Burillo Escorihuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenziebacked Jamie Mackenzie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.99
Targu Mures: Caijsa Hennemann vs Mia Pohankovabacked Mia Pohankova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$54.27
Tampere: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Gauthier Onclinbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$56.28
Estoril Open: Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van Asschebacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.99
Hamburg European Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Zug: Harold Mayot vs Mika Brunoldbacked Mika Brunold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Alex Molcanbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Generali Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.89
Hamburg European Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$19.55
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baezbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$47.45
Athens Open: Clara Tauson vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.81
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,697Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,766.46
Iasi Open: Tamara Zidansek vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,635Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,634.62
Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Clara Burelbacked Clara Burel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,685.04
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Midas Club vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Bbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.08
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$27.3
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$18.86
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.57
Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Enjoy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.71
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$37.71
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
All 9 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+674.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.