Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44709fea992d8eff08c55303ed6a339cf61c6bd2e3baef52a0fd66607a548b5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 77c | 1,733$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.43 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…3061backed Yes | 19c | 957.86$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.67 | 385 | 15.6%60 W · 325 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed No | 50c | 692.19$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.26 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 2c | 631.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 16c | 610.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1586…cd6cbacked Yes | 3c | 521.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked No | 78c | 492.66$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 38c | 479.64$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 22c | 465.39$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.57 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 22c | 445.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 7c | 418.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes | 73c | 349.55$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.35 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 79c | 340.16$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 73c | 329$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 25c | 328.02$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…9044backed Yes | 38c | 315.89$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 30c | 277.81$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.99 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 30c | 277$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.81 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 21c | 260.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 57c | 212.9$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 70c | 210.44$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 36c | 202.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.41 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…b9f8backed Yes | 19c | 190.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 349 | 22.9%80 W · 269 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2358…eb50backed Yes | 69c | 189.16$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 17c | 188.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 74c | 183$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.02 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 68c | 158.78$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 31c | 147.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 18c | 132$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…efa0backed Yes | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…3ff9backed Yes | 39c | 114.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x241c…2f7fbacked Yes | 19c | 113.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 67c | 110.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 17c | 110.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 70c | 108.93$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 43c | 104.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 16c | 102.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 35c | 101.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 303 | 33%100 W · 203 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.61 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes | 32c | 93.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 25c | 93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 18c | 91.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 20c | 76.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…1f86backed No | 76c | 72.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 235 | 60%141 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…9f18backed No | 70c | 71.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 74c | 67.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad5b…faddbacked Yes | 56c | 62.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 20c | 59.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 30c | 58.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a8…be9bbacked Yes | 36c | 56.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 48c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 30c | 54.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…86fdbacked Yes | 30c | 53.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…a64abacked No | 75c | 53.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 188 | 62.8%118 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 43c | 51.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 38c | 51.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec21…c83fbacked No | 79c | 50.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…9e01backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 25c | 48.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked Yes | 22c | 47.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 24c | 45.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…9f27backed No | 70c | 44.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 32c | 44.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 54c | 44.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 138 | 62.3%86 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…f244backed Yes | 75c | 40.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9791…a14abacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 46c | 37.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 62c | 35.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…c304backed Yes | 32c | 34.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 160 | 38.8%62 W · 98 L | +18.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 40c | 33.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked Yes | 63c | 30.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 71c | 29.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 71c | 27.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…ab78backed No | 70c | 21.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 293 | 54.3%159 W · 134 L | -25.6wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0d…3fd3backed Yes | 79c | 19.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 79cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4327…288fbacked No | 70c | 18.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed No | 80c | 18.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf147…791ebacked No | 77c | 13.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 75cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 69°F or below on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.