Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fbd128d2d975c6bff536e9991add21a750bbfa4abe206c7d201f6ac27e52bd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38e9…4355backed Yes | 28c | 1,443$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +103%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 17c | 1,441$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.8 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 24c | 861.75$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.09 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 29c | 652.33$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.87 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 3c | 520$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.88 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 27c | 510.59$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.88 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed No | 3c | 499.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 69c | 356.03$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.95 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 75c | 353.41$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.82 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 75c | 329$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.89 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 73c | 282.43$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.1 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 71c | 232.02$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.85 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3986…71fcbacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 58c | 199$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.41 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 71c | 174.08$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.71 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed No | 78c | 150$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…b9f8backed No | 72c | 142.85$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 349 | 22.9%80 W · 269 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked Yes | 9c | 141.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.09 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 30c | 129.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 31c | 126.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 15c | 125.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.39 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 70c | 114.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 78c | 108.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.17 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 12c | 105.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd489…7f08backed No | 80c | 98.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.09 | 95 | 66.3%63 W · 32 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed Yes | 28c | 97.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 18c | 97.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 91.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc4…acc4backed Yes | 15c | 88.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 15c | 83.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.76 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 73c | 82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed Yes | 35c | 75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 40c | 70.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 73c | 67.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 33c | 63.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…4ea7backed Yes | 36c | 62.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 26c | 62.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 79c | 59.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 25c | 58.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…2551backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x446b…132abacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…4331backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa012…2af7backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…65e1backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…1ea8backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…e17ebacked Yes | 33c | 47.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 29c | 47.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf722…4e1ebacked Yes | 26c | 45.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 32c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked Yes | 33c | 42.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 66c | 40.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…e81ebacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 152 | 75.7%115 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 74c | 39.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 76c | 39.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 336 | 54.2%182 W · 154 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…3667backed Yes | 30c | 38.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 31c | 36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed Yes | 70c | 35.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked Yes | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 73c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed No | 73c | 29.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9819…fe16backed Yes | 67c | 26.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 25.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 45c | 25.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 73c | 25.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 74c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 48c | 24.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 65c | 22.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 74c | 21.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 77c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 66c | 18.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…b2a8backed No | 64c | 17.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 73c | 17.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 63c | 17.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 69°F or below on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.