Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Varvara Lepchenko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xada774e7a91bc3d2631121d9700418f06763e2b5a9c45a50d834b3f4facf2a2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Polina Kudermetovaof Polina Kudermetova, Varvara Lepchenko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $494,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $510,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $494,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Varvara Lepchenko | 45c | 41,389$18,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,642.08 | 352 | 44.6%157 W · 195 L | -20.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Varvara Lepchenko | 68c | 25,000$16,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,880 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Varvara Lepchenko | 57c | 16,636$9,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,455.27 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Polina Kudermetova | 40c | 13,649$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,249.56 | 931 | 40.4%376 W · 555 L | -32.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…4591backed Polina Kudermetova | 31c | 13,482$4,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,253.78 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 45c | 10,196$4,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,605.47 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Polina Kudermetova | 38c | 10,044$3,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240.14 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Polina Kudermetova | 21c | 7,959$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,271.2 | 575 | 22.1%127 W · 448 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Polina Kudermetova | 40c | 7,043$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230.78 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Polina Kudermetova | 51c | 6,698$3,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.96 | 931 | 68.1%634 W · 297 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…092fbacked Polina Kudermetova | 67c | 5,347$3,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.54 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…8a41backed Polina Kudermetova | 72c | 4,000$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.54 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Varvara Lepchenko | 19c | 3,654$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.54 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 49c | 3,582$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.78 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 56c | 3,241$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1ce0backed Polina Kudermetova | 79c | 2,256$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.41 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Polina Kudermetova | 38c | 1,585$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.35 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51a…7c96backed Polina Kudermetova | 35c | 1,492$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Polina Kudermetova | 19c | 1,432$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.77 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Polina Kudermetova | 19c | 1,427$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.58 | 1,773 | 48.6%861 W · 912 L | +28.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Polina Kudermetova | 45c | 1,397$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.32 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Polina Kudermetova | 62c | 1,384$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.73 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Varvara Lepchenko | 51c | 1,335$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.13 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Polina Kudermetova | 58c | 1,266$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.76 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Polina Kudermetova | 18c | 1,157$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.47 | 506 | 55.5%281 W · 225 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 34c | 1,133$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.07 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Polina Kudermetova | 23c | 1,078$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.04 | 1,667 | 52.8%881 W · 786 L | +43.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Varvara Lepchenko | 48c | 1,045$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 271 | 32.5%88 W · 183 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…acd4backed Polina Kudermetova | 15c | 976.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.19 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Varvara Lepchenko | 17c | 961.31$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.48 | 2,238 | 52.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L | +80.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Varvara Lepchenko | 52c | 859.4$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.89 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Polina Kudermetova | 42c | 823.32$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.32 | 347 | 48.1%167 W · 180 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a1…1c2ebacked Polina Kudermetova | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc024…cc2ebacked Varvara Lepchenko | 72c | 759.18$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.85 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Polina Kudermetova | 41c | 733.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.54 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Polina Kudermetova | 45c | 713.31$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.29 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…f50bbacked Polina Kudermetova | 73c | 692.76$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Polina Kudermetova | 42c | 688.38$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.58 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Polina Kudermetova | 30c | 672.83$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.62 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Polina Kudermetova | 39c | 662$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.86 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Polina Kudermetova | 34c | 603.24$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.69 | 975 | 40.1%391 W · 584 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Polina Kudermetova | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 452 | 51.5%233 W · 219 L | -21.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Polina Kudermetova | 35c | 582.39$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.8 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…a939backed Polina Kudermetova | 36c | 550$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Polina Kudermetova | 69c | 548.12$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.12 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Polina Kudermetova | 78c | 539.45$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.55 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed Varvara Lepchenko | 51c | 492.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Polina Kudermetova | 36c | 489.97$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.58 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Polina Kudermetova | 20c | 484.3$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.44 | 196 | 26%51 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Varvara Lepchenko | 35c | 471.43$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…935fbacked Polina Kudermetova | 16c | 461.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.97 | 173 | 23.7%41 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b9…0226backed Polina Kudermetova | 43c | 444.82$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa63…f061backed Varvara Lepchenko | 62c | 423.38$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.41 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Polina Kudermetova | 25c | 420.22$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.52 | 186 | 36%67 W · 119 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Varvara Lepchenko | 49c | 420$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | +19.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa192…8876backed Varvara Lepchenko | 53c | 417.27$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.28 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 50c | 406.75$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.14 | 221 | 52.5%116 W · 105 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…f8acbacked Polina Kudermetova | 37c | 405.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.68 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…8944backed Polina Kudermetova | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Polina Kudermetova | 50c | 400.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 1,836 | 48.4%889 W · 947 L | -32.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Varvara Lepchenko | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 305 | 44.9%137 W · 168 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…9256backed Varvara Lepchenko | 55c | 398.07$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.21 | 248 | 48.4%120 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Varvara Lepchenko | 41c | 382.62$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.95 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Polina Kudermetova | 38c | 358.72$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.73 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Polina Kudermetova | 29c | 348.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.82 | 300 | 48.3%145 W · 155 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Polina Kudermetova | 40c | 345.47$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.78 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Polina Kudermetova | 37c | 315.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.52 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Varvara Lepchenko | 35c | 307.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.69 | 1,842 | 44.8%825 W · 1,017 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Polina Kudermetova | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 201 | 52.2%105 W · 96 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Polina Kudermetova | 46c | 305.2$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.81 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 17c | 305.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 139 | 18.7%26 W · 113 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Polina Kudermetova | 26c | 285.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.07 | 1,354 | 38.3%518 W · 836 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…d9f1backed Varvara Lepchenko | 44c | 283.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.23 | 167 | 26.3%44 W · 123 L | -18.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Varvara Lepchenko | 33c | 278.86$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Polina Kudermetova | 23c | 257.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.46 | 302 | 26.8%81 W · 221 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Polina Kudermetova | 33c | 251.52$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.52 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 35c | 250.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.51 | 1,844 | 45.7%843 W · 1,001 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Polina Kudermetova | 43c | 238$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.66 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Varvara Lepchenko | 49c | 237.44$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.83 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Polina Kudermetova | 65c | 231.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.02 | 1,178 | 52.4%617 W · 561 L | +27.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…697abacked Varvara Lepchenko | 36c | 228.44$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Polina Kudermetova | 29c | 224.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.9 | 520 | 38.5%200 W · 320 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Polina Kudermetova | 57c | 222.25$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 347 | 64%222 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Varvara Lepchenko | 71c | 218$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.78 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Varvara Lepchenko | 39c | 212.31$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 317 | 42.3%134 W · 183 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Polina Kudermetova | 25c | 210.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.92 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2351…f059backed Varvara Lepchenko | 44c | 205.26$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…ad6ebacked Varvara Lepchenko | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Polina Kudermetova | 30c | 200$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Varvara Lepchenko | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…d485backed Varvara Lepchenko | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Polina Kudermetova | 48c | 199.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.91 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…b16dbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 51c | 196.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 276 | 55.1%152 W · 124 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Varvara Lepchenko | 52c | 196.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 1,001 | 54.9%550 W · 451 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Polina Kudermetova | 59c | 187.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 271 | 54.2%147 W · 124 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Varvara Lepchenko | 35c | 180.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 66c | 175.13$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 639 | 65.9%421 W · 218 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Varvara Lepchenko | 39c | 174.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Varvara Lepchenko | 73c | 173.17$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.94 | 378 | 66.4%251 W · 127 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…0350backed Polina Kudermetova | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Varvara Lepchenkothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Kudermetova vs LepchenkoLepchenko won
- Set 2 Winner: Kudermetova vs LepchenkoKudermetova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.