Tennis · resolved market
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Lucija Bagaric
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa94de658e1bc2a9718153c02b40570fb1cbc779b29e4752e55829b076007f246
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francesca Jonesof Francesca Jones, Lucija Bagaric
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $852,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $903,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $852,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lucija Bagaric | 14c | 556,396$77,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,168.66 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Francesca Jones | 77c | 24,388$18,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500.18 | 361 | 45.2%163 W · 198 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2acd…d0b6backed Lucija Bagaric | 35c | 5,713$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.64 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Lucija Bagaric | 14c | 4,907$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.22 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…61e6backed Lucija Bagaric | 5c | 3,926$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 237 | 23.6%56 W · 181 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…a28cbacked Lucija Bagaric | 20c | 3,746$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.05 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…eb16backed Lucija Bagaric | 19c | 3,159$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.01 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Lucija Bagaric | 9c | 3,000$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Lucija Bagaric | 32c | 2,786$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.5 | 366 | 40.7%149 W · 217 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Lucija Bagaric | 9c | 2,519$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.92 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Francesca Jones | 80c | 2,408$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.62 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lucija Bagaric | 10c | 2,284$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.7 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…e3aebacked Lucija Bagaric | 7c | 2,174$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…0038backed Lucija Bagaric | 14c | 2,149$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Francesca Jones | 61c | 1,930$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.63 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…b26ebacked Lucija Bagaric | 5c | 1,900$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Lucija Bagaric | 7c | 1,847$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.94 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…b707backed Lucija Bagaric | 9c | 1,717$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…3733backed Lucija Bagaric | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…8944backed Lucija Bagaric | 10c | 1,429$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Lucija Bagaric | 16c | 1,382$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…b59cbacked Lucija Bagaric | 4c | 1,235$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Lucija Bagaric | 15c | 1,143$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.95 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Lucija Bagaric | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Lucija Bagaric | 5c | 900$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Lucija Bagaric | 21c | 864.95$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.87 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Lucija Bagaric | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Lucija Bagaric | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Lucija Bagaric | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…04ecbacked Lucija Bagaric | 7c | 713.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…6e6fbacked Lucija Bagaric | 20c | 694.02$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Lucija Bagaric | 8c | 693.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 187 | 31%58 W · 129 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Lucija Bagaric | 19c | 625$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Lucija Bagaric | 24c | 623.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…b60fbacked Francesca Jones | 75c | 618.69$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.07 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…cf5fbacked Lucija Bagaric | 11c | 530.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Lucija Bagaric | 8c | 477.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Lucija Bagaric | 4c | 459.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Lucija Bagaric | 15c | 438.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Francesca Jones | 75c | 431.97$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.11 | 341 | 48.1%164 W · 177 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…2b5dbacked Lucija Bagaric | 36c | 379.5$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.54 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lucija Bagaric | 9c | 345.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…8b19backed Lucija Bagaric | 18c | 302.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf039…508fbacked Lucija Bagaric | 5c | 286.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…a60fbacked Francesca Jones | 80c | 254.89$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 166 | 67.5%112 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…e6adbacked Lucija Bagaric | 11c | 249.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 103 | 10.7%11 W · 92 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…a766backed Lucija Bagaric | 8c | 247.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Lucija Bagaric | 15c | 219.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Lucija Bagaric | 19c | 201.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Francesca Jones | 76c | 166.16$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Lucija Bagaric | 13c | 160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de1…e01bbacked Lucija Bagaric | 14c | 159.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Lucija Bagaric | 24c | 146.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Lucija Bagaric | 18c | 133.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Lucija Bagaric | 15c | 128.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c6…0b4dbacked Lucija Bagaric | 8c | 126.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Lucija Bagaric | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lucija Bagaric | 24c | 107.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Francesca Jones | 72c | 104.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 306 | 47.7%146 W · 160 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…fa62backed Lucija Bagaric | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Lucija Bagaric | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 891 | 34.3%306 W · 585 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lucija Bagaric | 24c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lucija Bagaric | 24c | 86.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Francesca Jones | 79c | 85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Francesca Jones | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Francesca Jones | 76c | 74.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Francesca Jones | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…209dbacked Francesca Jones | 78c | 63.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Francesca Jones | 80c | 60.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Lucija Bagaric | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…0a85backed Francesca Jones | 74c | 53.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Francesca Jones | 80c | 53.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…1121backed Francesca Jones | 77c | 52.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…2c8abacked Francesca Jones | 73c | 41.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Francesca Jones | 74c | 37.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc1…53babacked Francesca Jones | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…0c84backed Francesca Jones | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Francesca Jones | 74c | 26.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Francesca Jones | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9e…48cdbacked Francesca Jones | 79c | 20.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Francesca Jones | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d92…48e4backed Francesca Jones | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Francesca Jones | 71c | 14.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Francesca Jones | 77c | 13.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Lucija Bagaricthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Jones vs BagaricJones won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.