Asian League · resolved market
Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8e5fcbb03489c3367512b3d621cbe0912350fcb509c2ce584b14e4c99b8a641
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa796…82fdbacked No | 54c | 13,099$7,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,073.54 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 46c | 10,773$4,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,817.67 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 4,099$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.59 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked No | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 2,522$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.45 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 17c | 2,115$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.7 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 49c | 1,686$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.66 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Yes | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 46c | 511.43$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.29 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 59c | 496.85$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 46c | 473.38$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.8 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 332.47$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.19 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Yes | 77c | 310.74$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…4847backed Yes | 34c | 296.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…f497backed Yes | 31c | 190.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 33c | 151.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 150.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 149.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.53 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 56c | 129$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 45c | 117$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 67c | 111.47$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 26c | 107.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…470dbacked Yes | 74c | 106.42$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 70c | 104.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 23c | 102.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 29c | 99.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 63c | 94.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 67c | 85.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 45c | 74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…2af5backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed No | 30c | 64.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 48c | 55.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…dc9cbacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 43c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 47c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 37c | 47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 70c | 44.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…760ebacked Yes | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…f52cbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 31c | 37.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 46c | 36.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 78c | 35.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4f8ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 69c | 27.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw?this page
- Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-05-31?No won
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-05-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.