Mls · resolved market
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f0dd0d865cbc855522a7348280a601ce5a9c0e12ffd88c67855337ec7ccb50f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 19c | 40,569$7,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,539.58 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 19c | 38,536$7,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,498.45 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 13c | 11,092$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.58 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 5c | 10,999$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.53 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 20c | 9,907$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.96 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Yes | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 4,631$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.65 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 11c | 4,280$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.35 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 38c | 3,564$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.97 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.7 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 2,637$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.07 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 63c | 2,523$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.49 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 61c | 1,850$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.12 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 46c | 1,747$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.5 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 1,300$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.49 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 62c | 1,066$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.64 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Yes | 79c | 823.71$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.47 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 2c | 738.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 76c | 685.99$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.73 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Yes | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked No | 18c | 599.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 60c | 592$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.2 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 38c | 481$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.22 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed No | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 76c | 476.01$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.15 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 23c | 466.42$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 28c | 463.6$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.46 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 60c | 419.24$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.54 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 78c | 394.36$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.77 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 60c | 384.13$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.48 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 20c | 378.28$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 37c | 369.2$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.6 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 80c | 348.36$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 41c | 323.18$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.79 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked No | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 56c | 310.6$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.25 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 62c | 295.48$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.2 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed No | 29c | 267$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed No | 29c | 267$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.47 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed No | 31c | 267$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 16c | 258.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…55bbbacked No | 11c | 254.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes | 67c | 226.63$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed No | 11c | 204.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 78c | 192.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked No | 63c | 184$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 33c | 176.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 63c | 164$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.24 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 31c | 161.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 34c | 160.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…2193backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 35c | 145.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 36c | 143.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 73c | 143.9$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 55c | 136.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…44f3backed Yes | 79c | 126.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fc…9f00backed No | 12c | 125.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 56c | 118.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 71c | 113.39$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 34c | 111.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 38c | 102.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed No | 19c | 102.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 100.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 23c | 93.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 78c | 92.12$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 71c | 83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 57c | 79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 65c | 69.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 61c | 69.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 62c | 64.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 38c | 63.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 66c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 47c | 60.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 20c | 59.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed No | 63c | 59.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 59.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 61c | 54.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +12.0wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +83%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +16.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…e250backed Yes | 38c | 51.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 79cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 55c | 51.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x836f…e56cbacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 71c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed No | 62c | 47.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Yes | 38c | 47.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 62c | 46.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 64c | 46.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x996b…abf7backed Yes | 80c | 44.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-23?this page
- Will Portland Timbers vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?No won
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-05-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.