Mls · resolved market
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-05-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f765855111340ab7b6bbe7ab0070a39f0a264a606fbac240b7f77d4e274031c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 5c | 18,876$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.9 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 1c | 7,173$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 40c | 5,092$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.66 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 3,342$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.61 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 7c | 2,964$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.49 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 39c | 2,642$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 61c | 1,416$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.26 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 850.46$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.24 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 5c | 826.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 40c | 801.77$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.71 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 70c | 610.93$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.31 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 6c | 456.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 62c | 404.21$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…12babacked No | 61c | 299.98$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 5c | 299.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 8c | 220.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 214.68$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…6147backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…e9f7backed No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 37c | 158$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 152.82$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…97d7backed Yes | 38c | 149.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb051…b42abacked Yes | 38c | 143.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…6253backed Yes | 7c | 143$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 14c | 140$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…6f0abacked Yes | 38c | 139.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 38c | 116.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 78c | 112.75$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x971e…0499backed No | 63c | 112.56$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…751cbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426c…bdf1backed No | 63c | 97.46$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 40c | 95.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 67c | 89.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 39c | 87.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 84.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 61c | 83.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6256…02e8backed No | 63c | 83.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 14c | 81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…58e1backed No | 63c | 76.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 38c | 76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c0…0ba8backed Yes | 39c | 71.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 62c | 67.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…977bbacked Yes | 39c | 65.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…5bdcbacked No | 63c | 62.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 22c | 52.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 38c | 52.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 40c | 49.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d5…41b8backed No | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 78c | 42.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f36…fc1abacked No | 62c | 41.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 60c | 39.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 38c | 39.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 79c | 38.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 39c | 37.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 39c | 37.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b3…04aebacked No | 62c | 36.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…9671backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68d…a72fbacked No | 62c | 31.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe885…3e05backed No | 62c | 29.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 38c | 27.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 79c | 24.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 61c | 18.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 66c | 17.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-05-23?this page
- Will Portland Timbers vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?No won
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.