Fifa International · resolved market
Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3de8f4a6c47b6434f9ab7fb7015413fd01d127fe6f6b131c86c2cd2e1114fcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 7c | 1,847$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.84 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 69c | 1,659$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.61 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 13c | 1,658$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.61 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 1,534$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.73 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 1,331$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2b…57dcbacked Under | 76c | 1,323$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 24c | 1,320$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.59 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 73c | 826.74$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.74 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Under | 48c | 756.27$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.89 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 26c | 715.38$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 23c | 522.08$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.08 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 27c | 371.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 7c | 328.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 285 | 45.3%129 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 46c | 249.3$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 7c | 246$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 29c | 241.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…9858backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 48c | 181.63$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked Over | 30c | 166.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 7c | 166.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 51c | 157$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 52c | 138.8$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 29c | 137.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 29c | 137.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 29c | 137.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…bf35backed Over | 24c | 133.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Under | 55c | 131.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 27c | 110.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7472…c267backed Over | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 97.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Over | 34c | 86.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 47c | 77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfc…ab38backed Over | 54c | 69.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Over | 29c | 66.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3965…4ef1backed Over | 30c | 64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 42c | 62.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 29c | 58.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 248 | 40.3%100 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Over | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…610ebacked Over | 29c | 48.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Over | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 329 | 59.6%196 W · 133 L | +21.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4d…01c3backed Over | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232e…e9fdbacked Over | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…2513backed Over | 54c | 32.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Over | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5this page
- Bolivia vs. Scotland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bolivia (-1.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Scotland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.