Fifa International · resolved market
Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a4f7f7e20083aea7216b5bf746855543d247ac0cc66f5707c37086fee47360c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 3,827$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.3 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 59c | 3,400$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 2,909$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.93 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 42c | 2,742$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.89 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 41c | 1,941$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Under | 16c | 1,538$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +162.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 41c | 1,485$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.44 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Under | 74c | 1,100$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 39c | 765.39$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.89 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 10c | 558$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 15c | 470.28$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.73 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 36c | 416.66$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.66 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 15c | 333.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.27 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 8c | 282.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 11c | 259$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 61c | 239.16$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.89 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 40c | 220$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 33c | 217.46$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.29 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 77c | 210.3$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 50c | 200.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 48c | 196.61$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 25c | 168.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…4decbacked Over | 65c | 133.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 20c | 104.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 17c | 87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 38c | 83.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 18c | 83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 16c | 79.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…811cbacked Over | 79c | 75.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377a…e576backed Over | 76c | 47.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Under | 35c | 33.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 60c | 31.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Under | 68c | 29.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 62c | 25.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…3e6ebacked Under | 49c | 25.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…1ff8backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…ad68backed Under | 46c | 22.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 171 | 54.4%93 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Under | 69c | 19.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5this page
- Bolivia vs. Scotland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bolivia (-1.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Scotland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.