Fifa International · resolved market
Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc82789053091d37bc473c66c3ff97b90dd3e33a8f0c621390b4ac443cd80bd66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Under | 59c | 3,265$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.11 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 1,624$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.53 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 44c | 580.87$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.19 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 312.93$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.14 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 32c | 211.16$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 64c | 150.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 324 | 44.1%143 W · 181 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 67c | 150.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x232e…e9fdbacked Over | 43c | 145.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.17 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 36c | 130.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 35c | 118.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.87 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 65c | 96.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 34c | 94.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 183 | 71%130 W · 53 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 67c | 68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 56.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 45c | 52.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 43c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 33c | 49.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 57c | 47.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 68c | 45.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 68c | 42.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Over | 37c | 40.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377a…e576backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Under | 67c | 20.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 100 | 68%68 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 61c | 19.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Under | 65c | 18.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5this page
- Bolivia vs. Scotland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bolivia (-1.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Scotland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.