TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,394
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,394 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes30c25,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,500728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c9,892$6,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,963.9298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes57c8,888$5,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,066.167750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Yes62c6,439$3,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,992.03450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes48c5,798$2,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,767.382,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No70c5,025$3,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.51266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+66.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No65c3,364$2,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.411153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes29c3,141$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91113839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No63c2,878$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.991,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes39c2,685$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.713748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No71c2,119$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.640447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes29c2,097$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.84528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No64c1,923$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.287763.6%49 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes51c1,856$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.3316819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b38…df69backed Yes1c1,825$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2b8…b908backed No71c1,725$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+58.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes56c1,601$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.8234239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No71c1,340$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.1936456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes29c1,200$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3483847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes47c1,179$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.72951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+33.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3af8…fdddbacked Yes42c1,142$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No72c1,096$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.785459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No70c1,059$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.74966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb911…7c31backed Yes9c1,033$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.011414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes37c1,022$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3784546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b73…8688backed Yes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-57.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30018951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No71c999.91$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.8341954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No69c868.99$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.393167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes30c866$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.833951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes53c859.52$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.4822743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…3a98backed Yes31c720$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.21136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No70c711.53$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4614258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd1d…ca4cbacked Yes30c571.52$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.4630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52a1…7833backed Yes36c552.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No69c507.37$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.2968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked Yes31c500$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.02650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3389…5bcfbacked No71c401.83$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11610549.5%52 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No70c399.97$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9912153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes37c387.31$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5914442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x790e…b82dbacked No70c353.66$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+118.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No76c350.87$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.715955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8bd…d868backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc1…1efbbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes14c301.18$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5931738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9022237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No72c286.11$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.112080%16 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Yes29c285$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.652055%11 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed No65c279.38$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.78425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No66c275.74$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7531958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No72c263$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.646070%42 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes31c258.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+64.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No57c248.2$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.843141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No71c239.98$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5915844.3%70 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes6c238.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8626241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No69c228.89$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9612357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Yes31c227.52$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.182835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No71c190.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3935646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes16c182.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7939740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Yes29c180$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-45.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes31c161$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.91425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfa0…62dfbacked Yes31c161$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.91425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed No70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.53655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423928.2%11 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+62.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No77c126.37$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7118253.8%98 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No71c121.91$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.354955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Yes46c114$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.322147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad09…7c75backed Yes30c111.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fb0…e4fcbacked Yes17c105.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1890%0 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes33c105.03$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3422545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4552…eac6backed No67c104.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.481080%8 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ece…0163backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302055%11 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd2c…e8e8backed No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293540%14 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda49…5307backed Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed No48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd553…f8bbbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes29c97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1326040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Yes30c81.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.49666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+44.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed No43c77.9$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.26633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked No72c70.69$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.79580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No50c69.29$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8720749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No71c60.15$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4424953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No67c53.97$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7821748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152060%12 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+39.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No65c50.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.753638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked No73c48.63$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed No55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.455052%26 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No77c45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2917529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10e5…b4e9backed Yes29c44.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9580%4 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick33cpaid+179.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf824…651fbacked Yes36c43.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.69728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.24669.6%32 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…be0abacked Yes28c39.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.051233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.