South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef11bcd9f2c15fb153b76d633b006c40e6bae4d4e86acd4e25bd1f2ffae0f5c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 43c | 10,530$4,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,998.77 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 60c | 10,245$6,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,120.46 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 7,354$3,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,930.97 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 6,743$3,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.13 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 45c | 6,019$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.43 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9747…961ebacked No | 55c | 5,394$2,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Yes | 43c | 2,586$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes | 39c | 2,100$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 39cpaid | +162.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Yes | 47c | 2,016$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 41c | 1,998$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.99 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 60c | 1,876$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.94 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbc…faebbacked Yes | 40c | 1,331$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes | 46c | 1,099$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.76 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 55c | 1,050$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.5 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Yes | 51c | 978.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 42c | 951$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.92 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed No | 54c | 806.5$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.58 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 43c | 798.08$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.91 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed Yes | 58c | 697.32$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…82fdbacked Yes | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 38c | 635.19$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.04 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 53c | 635$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.55 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 55c | 634$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.7 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 56c | 598.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.58 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 16c | 546.87$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.87 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked No | 57c | 527$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.39 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 48c | 520.31$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.27 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Yes | 45c | 501.4$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.1 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked No | 55c | 485.45$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…4b59backed Yes | 46c | 470.99$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…82fdbacked Yes | 48c | 429.94$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.57 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…cc1bbacked Yes | 37c | 396.11$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 385.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.65 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 44c | 380.95$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.09 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 38c | 350$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…d93bbacked Yes | 64c | 329.45$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.37 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 55c | 316$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed No | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 22c | 296$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 69c | 242.55$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 55c | 239.56$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.79 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 41c | 236.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa507…42b1backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5665…47debacked Yes | 43c | 216.49$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…3327backed Yes | 45c | 213.89$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.64 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…0404backed Yes | 35c | 211.43$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb6…f7b3backed Yes | 43c | 209.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 55c | 199.62$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.79 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 56c | 198.3$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.49 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 56c | 179.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…db68backed Yes | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Yes | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…40afbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 48c | 113.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…e107backed Yes | 42c | 112.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…df45backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…c7a7backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a69…5a45backed Yes | 41c | 98.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 37c | 82.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 51c | 81.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 63c | 77.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…cf50backed No | 20c | 74.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 77c | 69.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 36c | 68.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed No | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 41c | 60.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 58.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3c…78a5backed Yes | 45c | 56.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed No | 19c | 56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 54c | 55.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Yes | 41c | 55.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 20c | 52.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 48c | 51.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…d843backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 31c | 50.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…8e94backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…59a4backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 40c | 44.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 55c | 44.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 40c | 42.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.