Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AZ win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b1e14706f10651bf1b78bc3100c243ed853896404386f193c0cba95f61a4c57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf487…67c8backed No | 13c | 18,299$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,933.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +842%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 15c | 12,622$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,751.24 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 30c | 3,097$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.97 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 3,033$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.57 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 11c | 2,904$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.76 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…a7c5backed Yes | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Yes | 71c | 999.99$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 20c | 996.38$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.37 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 6c | 849$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.93 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 38c | 795.22$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.17 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 24c | 783.17$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.21 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | +15.4wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 28c | 773.9$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.3 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 21c | 584$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.25 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +283.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 28c | 581.49$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.52 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 28c | 520$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 28c | 446$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.12 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 28c | 443.84$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.56 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 76c | 362.37$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.4 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 28c | 245$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 6c | 209.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 52c | 170.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 37c | 152.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 27c | 151$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.73 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 75c | 132.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 25c | 121.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 36c | 111.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 22c | 110.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed No | 29c | 102.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 92.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Yes | 15c | 71.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 17c | 62.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 25c | 55.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 48c | 55.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…687ebacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 36c | 46.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 28c | 45.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 43c | 44.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 32c | 34.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed No | 38c | 32.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 71c | 25.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 58c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 73c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will AZ vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?Yes won
- Will NAC Breda win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.