Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AZ vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8e94373d49f43d4dba0dc7f9109ee1348f57247d58350cd9bdb0be589fe980a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf487…67c8backed Yes | 9c | 11,831$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,765.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +842%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed Yes | 15c | 4,284$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +224.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Yes | 56c | 2,526$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 7c | 2,240$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.45 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,037$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.69 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 12c | 1,741$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.1 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 1,503$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.5 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 1,089$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.26 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 32c | 1,055$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.98 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 15c | 502.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.02 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 35c | 430.07$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.93 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 61c | 350$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 56c | 314.92$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.2 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…8332backed Yes | 62c | 249.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 18c | 240$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.38 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 73c | 239$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.46 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 39c | 237$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.45 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 58c | 210$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.41 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 39c | 204.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 34c | 187$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.89 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 10c | 112$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 21c | 110$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 50 | 80%40 W · 10 L | +10.9wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 23c | 108.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 37c | 108$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 33c | 85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 36c | 83.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 48c | 81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 48c | 76.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 17c | 73.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 47c | 72.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 47c | 69.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 24c | 62.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 31c | 55.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 72c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 66c | 52.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…687ebacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Yes | 61c | 35.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 39c | 33.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…d784backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 53c | 28.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 72c | 23.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1a…4475backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf89…0fb1backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?this page
- Will AZ win on 2026-05-17?No won
- Will NAC Breda win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.