Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Heerenveen vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23d70e8680e95223f7f6d8a8c85a1e713ad7daaef368d5285b00dfea2ea9d207
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 2,467$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.22 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 61c | 1,679$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.58 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 75c | 1,477$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.11 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 1,474$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.68 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,337$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.9 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Yes | 50c | 1,005$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 77c | 911.55$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.89 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 14c | 845.53$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 27c | 765.71$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.74 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 69c | 746.4$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 717.08$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.98 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 24c | 626.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 58c | 562.77$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.84 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 77c | 484.78$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.28 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 25c | 360$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes | 23c | 304.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 25c | 299.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.7 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 281.34$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.12 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 79c | 261.14$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 52c | 250.82$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.45 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Yes | 25c | 200.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.38 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…cc1bbacked Yes | 45c | 172.02$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 158.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.98 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Yes | 48c | 153.13$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 11c | 129.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…604abacked Yes | 43c | 116.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 21c | 114.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed No | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…44dcbacked No | 55c | 103.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Yes | 30c | 103.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 100.74$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.57 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ab…929bbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 21c | 96.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 53c | 88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 77c | 86.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…8cf8backed No | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 54c | 77.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 77c | 74.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…7eaebacked Yes | 55c | 72.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 44c | 68.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed No | 16c | 68.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed No | 19c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 77c | 59.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 23c | 59.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…e107backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…d784backed Yes | 54c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 20c | 53.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Yes | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…a963backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 45c | 41.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…c002backed Yes | 55c | 41.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 69c | 35.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Yes | 70c | 34.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 70c | 34.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 66c | 32.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 69c | 30.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 28.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 77c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 65c | 19.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9603…de5ebacked Yes | 73c | 16.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Heerenveen vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?this page
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-17?No won
- Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.