TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,965 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x658e…d758backed Yes44c9,937$4,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,32310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes39c5,391$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,120.247,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No65c5,066$3,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.0751842.1%218 W · 300 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No60c4,570$2,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.912,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No62c4,511$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.764057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No73c2,133$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.695,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d9…26a2backed Yes35c1,664$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes42c1,437$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.422433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No57c1,240$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.2992043.4%399 W · 521 L-4.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No52c742.58$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.441,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No58c728.55$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.2194043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes24c627.25$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15058229.2%170 W · 412 L-19.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1025…f5bdbacked Yes43c615.79$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes43c539.75$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.752,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No59c440.96$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.092,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No52c419.92$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.682,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes40c395.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No54c389.99$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.41838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No52c384$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.231,28250.2%644 W · 638 L-25.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes48c333.75$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.223649.2%116 W · 120 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507435.1%26 W · 48 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No52c312$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.7610458.7%61 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf887…db68backed Yes48c310$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes37c299.23$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0313528.9%39 W · 96 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No53c228.03$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.181,22251%623 W · 599 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes25c226.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7517149.7%85 W · 86 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…a12bbacked Yes35c204$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No75c203.16$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4323347.2%110 W · 123 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes48c203$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.445137.3%19 W · 32 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf797…37ccbacked Yes49c184$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.162147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes33c171.77$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0234139.9%136 W · 205 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No59c169.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.27162%44 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No53c142.51$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9819948.7%97 W · 102 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed Yes14c127$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.783321.2%7 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes41c118.77$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1267348.1%324 W · 349 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes27c116.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.52832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No52c116$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.682,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No78c115.68$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3418659.7%111 W · 75 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No53c107$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.291,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ecd…c49fbacked Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes37c105.41$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393040%12 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No65c105.19$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.327368.5%50 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No52c104.17$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c3…90fcbacked Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd19e…2fc9backed Yes49c102.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-69.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Yes47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes40c97.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…70c5backed No53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes47c93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7154650.4%275 W · 271 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ed…5694backed No54c92.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.53250%16 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Yes48c89.58$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4314332.2%46 W · 97 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a36…2450backed Yes38c89.05$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.84875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8525…0dc3backed No68c88.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.24580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2068…d19bbacked Yes40c86.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0690…8821backed Yes48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2c…6187backed Yes47c81.96$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ab…929bbacked Yes47c79.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.61330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d33…368fbacked Yes47c72.66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No53c67$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4910543.8%46 W · 59 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eab…78efbacked Yes31c65.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.441233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes39c53.42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No52c53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.449258.7%54 W · 38 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2423256.9%132 W · 100 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.59941.4%41 W · 58 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.53148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked No70c49.88$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.96875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes40c47.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.128658.1%50 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Yes48c41.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+67.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c3d…2ff5backed Yes37c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeaa4…3409backed Yes39c33.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No71c32.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.311545.2%52 W · 63 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed No54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+49.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes39c27.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118148.1%39 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No53c26.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5153655.2%296 W · 240 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No54c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.511755.6%65 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc7…e0e5backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No54c20.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3627352.7%144 W · 129 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.