Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa309db8f2ff07f9d05ac267539bafde16663d26eaad2e422c891e7677fbb2339
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked No | 1c | 23,892$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.25 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5783…ea00backed No | 1c | 22,635$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…e4f0backed No | 0c | 15,144$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed No | 0c | 14,196$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 1c | 13,143$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.13 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 9c | 12,603$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,436.54 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a6…762ebacked No | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…523bbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a3…ab99backed Yes | 11c | 7,064$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,307 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +645.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…1063backed No | 0c | 7,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 16c | 4,716$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,971.19 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 9c | 4,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 37c | 3,655$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.41 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 20c | 2,650$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.73 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 79c | 2,558$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.06 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x766e…699fbacked No | 15c | 2,486$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 8c | 2,109$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.38 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…6224backed Yes | 13c | 2,103$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed No | 17c | 1,813$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.27 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…73ecbacked Yes | 10c | 1,600$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1659…cda7backed No | 7c | 1,476$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked Yes | 11c | 1,443$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.41 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 11c | 1,438$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.78 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 15c | 1,289$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.28 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…d7ccbacked Yes | 6c | 1,099$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 22c | 1,090$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.8 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +12.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xef43…7b62backed Yes | 14c | 1,066$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.83 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Yes | 9c | 1,066$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.4 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 69c | 977.16$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.43 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed Yes | 73c | 900.3$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.62 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba1…057cbacked No | 2c | 894.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…7579backed No | 63c | 837.97$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.63 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 9c | 807$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.37 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470c…2af9backed No | 6c | 771$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c0…0403backed Yes | 10c | 750$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…94d2backed No | 22c | 744.67$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 30c | 694.28$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.52 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 22c | 635.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…78c2backed Yes | 12c | 600.1$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.09 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 80c | 575.82$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.78 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked No | 7c | 566.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 8c | 538.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.37 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…1f33backed Yes | 12c | 499.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 8c | 478$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.76 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked No | 5c | 446.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 25c | 435.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed Yes | 9c | 400$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc082…41fcbacked Yes | 11c | 376.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…58dabacked Yes | 11c | 376.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Yes | 78c | 373.23$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfb…9762backed No | 73c | 333$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…3b7dbacked No | 17c | 331.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed Yes | 59c | 331.09$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.23 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…c4f2backed Yes | 18c | 325.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a06…41c9backed No | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed Yes | 10c | 293.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.42 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd30a…25e9backed No | 18c | 271.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990c…5ccfbacked Yes | 9c | 270.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…17b7backed Yes | 9c | 253.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.21 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.5 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…20ccbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 8c | 249.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.98 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 53c | 248.5$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.95 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +8.3wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…2989backed No | 22c | 245.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9e…70bcbacked No | 44c | 226.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e7…f41fbacked Yes | 9c | 226$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.66 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…9098backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed Yes | 14c | 220$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 71c | 210$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 8c | 208.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.24 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 18c | 202$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.05 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…94b0backed No | 62c | 191.21$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023c…bdafbacked Yes | 10c | 183$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +166.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4e…f04abacked No | 18c | 167.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 8c | 154.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.59 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…69ddbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…5b57backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 30c | 148.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +7.0wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x76be…6718backed Yes | 77c | 140$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.45per pick | 58cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 31c | 131.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…da5dbacked No | 18c | 130$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ca…4a6cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +525%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…4260backed No | 16c | 122.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…2e9bbacked Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…9b0fbacked Yes | 9c | 118.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…68d1backed No | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked No | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…ec02backed Yes | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 75c | 101.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…01febacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…d10abacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…0fa3backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 12cpaid | +332.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…ea78backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b8…3dc2backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e78…b11cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 79c | 99.55$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.