Fifa International · resolved market
Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-10-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f2b1d2cbbd09e4118a370fd9a39b6ee60f85369b4abc62120aaee3ab3c4d5d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 11c | 4,050$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,604.14 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 17c | 2,039$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.55 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.13 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,951$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.82 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 10c | 1,376$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.39 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 47c | 1,242$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.74 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +13.7wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +416.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 11c | 1,230$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.7 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 12c | 1,223$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.71 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 48c | 1,046$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.64 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 12c | 861$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.29 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 11c | 804.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.71 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…d4c7backed Yes | 13c | 799.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 10c | 769.08$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.37 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes | 14c | 684.36$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.95 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 30c | 619.78$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.4 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…b175backed Yes | 11c | 456.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +200.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 53c | 437.23$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.18 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked Yes | 74c | 375.13$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +291.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…8302backed Yes | 11c | 298.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…53b9backed Yes | 11c | 232.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +277.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…2a5ebacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 17c | 180.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.59 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1590…9e72backed Yes | 11c | 137$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +158.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 67.7%65 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +200%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed No | 22c | 93.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 40c | 91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 79c | 82.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 47c | 63.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…574cbacked Yes | 61c | 59.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 45c | 44.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…7f5dbacked Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 66c | 27.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-10-12?this page
- Will Czechia win on 2025-10-12?No won
- Will Faroe Islands vs. Czechia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.