Us Politics · resolved market
Will Donald Trump disparage Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Monday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61eafb3250cec9d8ad9f83c3562f00d9fa89bf0975452f3443d3483e8c08de8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 17c | 5,033$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.13 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212c…8e4abacked Yes | 22c | 2,162$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked No | 78c | 2,051$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 79c | 2,020$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.71 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 21c | 1,929$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.8 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 8c | 1,726$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.25 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c7…6378backed Yes | 23c | 1,271$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 14c | 1,200$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.06 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec67…86b9backed No | 77c | 1,002$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 77c | 865.81$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.83 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 14c | 863$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 800$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 77c | 794.56$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.75 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 19c | 747.53$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked No | 73c | 738.78$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.47 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 78c | 630.25$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…7637backed Yes | 25c | 611$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1141…55b1backed Yes | 21c | 602.83$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.59 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed Yes | 6c | 560$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 23c | 515.21$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…7b2ebacked No | 79c | 499.99$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 15c | 478.64$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…4d68backed Yes | 22c | 454.14$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92a…2818backed Yes | 13c | 431.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 78c | 390.55$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed Yes | 22c | 371.74$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7214…433bbacked Yes | 15c | 370.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 79c | 350.06$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.11 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…d071backed Yes | 24c | 333.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…189abacked No | 77c | 260.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 58cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 80c | 250.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 23c | 250$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…cb2dbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…bd6ebacked Yes | 19c | 242.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 73c | 215.19$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a79…8e9abacked Yes | 28c | 215$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…6b2fbacked Yes | 15c | 205.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c51…5e7abacked Yes | 21c | 171.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…960bbacked Yes | 13c | 170$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…0479backed Yes | 20c | 167$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 19c | 166$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…f03bbacked Yes | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…c21ebacked Yes | 22c | 161.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…a7a1backed Yes | 28c | 160.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 28c | 151.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 19c | 150.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe3…359abacked Yes | 20c | 132.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3213…2153backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cae…98e8backed Yes | 23c | 113.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 22c | 113$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e00…ea54backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…2225backed No | 78c | 102.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…a0d7backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceac…fa1fbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc1…d7acbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…ebe9backed Yes | 28c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…166bbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…563bbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 23c | 97.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec9…6929backed Yes | 25c | 97.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed Yes | 15c | 96.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d9…72eebacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1091…a259backed Yes | 24c | 95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…4bdbbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed Yes | 19c | 83.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…3520backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…5b50backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45eb…acc2backed Yes | 25c | 80.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5a…2d96backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…ef84backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea9…8b40backed Yes | 22c | 78.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd30…5415backed Yes | 22c | 76.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…d9b2backed Yes | 22c | 75.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes | 20c | 75.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…6871backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49eb…4d1fbacked Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…2edebacked Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe454…15bebacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89f4…9fd5backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x894a…3d3cbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…0aa5backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…35e5backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +130.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…5a22backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…c023backed No | 80c | 32.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.