CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs B8
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x928903def009491f4271e654e6b3c4e64fc6e4dbbf09740001d6ab2b831a1ea9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of Legacy, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Legacy | 54c | 2,966$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.64 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked B8 | 46c | 2,718$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.72 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed B8 | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Legacy | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Legacy | 55c | 1,412$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.09 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed B8 | 40c | 660$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.2 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Legacy | 77c | 535.5$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.81 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked B8 | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9395…38edbacked B8 | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed Legacy | 64c | 412.74$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed B8 | 27c | 376.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.56 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Legacy | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed B8 | 17c | 336.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.36 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Legacy | 54c | 320.83$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.56 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Legacy | 49c | 257.48$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.45 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked B8 | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Legacy | 54c | 202.17$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.17 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed B8 | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed B8 | 40c | 187.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.75 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed B8 | 27c | 166.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.67 | 611 | 38.1%233 W · 378 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Legacy | 62c | 160$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed B8 | 58c | 143.81$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Legacy | 60c | 127.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…1630backed B8 | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0356…5273backed B8 | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…9172backed Legacy | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed B8 | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed B8 | 47c | 42.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847d…e4dbbacked B8 | 50c | 20.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.