TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kevin Borjasof Kevin Borjas, Andre Lima
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$332,138
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$351,417

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,138 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Kevin Borjas15c120,833$18,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,683.717454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Andre Lima60c25,664$15,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,379.0715939.6%63 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Kevin Borjas18c13,000$2,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,661.1913039.2%51 W · 79 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Andre Lima76c12,299$9,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,313.3129151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Kevin Borjas62c12,238$7,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,610.534156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Andre Lima64c12,071$7,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,722.6918032.8%59 W · 121 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Andre Lima37c8,297$3,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,069.7915444.2%68 W · 86 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kevin Borjas25c6,487$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,892.533754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c47…06fbbacked Kevin Borjas17c5,770$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,811.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+201%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Kevin Borjas29c5,519$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,919.212222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-38.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Andre Lima17c4,034$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.8533132%106 W · 225 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0506…8c6abacked Andre Lima63c4,000$2,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,538.1516746.1%77 W · 90 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Kevin Borjas33c3,571$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,403.345863.8%37 W · 21 L+9.7wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+43.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kevin Borjas43c3,236$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.594040%16 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Kevin Borjas15c2,500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12513452.2%70 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Kevin Borjas38c2,344$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.986963.8%44 W · 25 L+11.8wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Kevin Borjas20c2,177$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.324936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Kevin Borjas17c1,935$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.538551.8%44 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed Kevin Borjas51c1,828$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.224746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Kevin Borjas24c1,800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid+36.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Andre Lima40c1,689$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.9326736%96 W · 171 L-16.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Andre Lima46c1,648$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.041010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Kevin Borjas35c1,591$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.5413144.3%58 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Kevin Borjas20c1,530$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.021442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Kevin Borjas16c1,500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26530964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Kevin Borjas27c1,500$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.9720837%77 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Kevin Borjas32c1,415$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.924748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x879b…9cb2backed Andre Lima66c1,326$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.08650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Kevin Borjas15c1,250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.51952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+42%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Kevin Borjas32c1,236$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.612557.6%72 W · 53 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc542…7fe1backed Andre Lima46c1,200$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Kevin Borjas43c1,158$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.141747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec5a…cd56backed Andre Lima34c1,151$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.574037.5%15 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Kevin Borjas38c1,118$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Andre Lima75c1,113$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.661526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.24per pick50cpaid-63.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Kevin Borjas62c1,086$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.875655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Kevin Borjas30c1,050$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.981258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Kevin Borjas15c1,004$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.718461.9%52 W · 32 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Andre Lima58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5809949.5%49 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ea…639abacked Kevin Borjas52c967.59$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.592755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52f4…2b15backed Kevin Borjas31c961.82$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.2816156.5%91 W · 70 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+67.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Andre Lima56c919.46$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.8213951.1%71 W · 68 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3f3…3426backed Kevin Borjas27c883.71$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.4114132.6%46 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Andre Lima51c804.33$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.5511240.2%45 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf38d…eb9abacked Kevin Borjas63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.655461.1%33 W · 21 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x43e0…8618backed Andre Lima35c792.67$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.368434.5%29 W · 55 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Kevin Borjas39c693.32$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.319548.4%46 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Andre Lima71c680.61$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.617648.7%37 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Kevin Borjas26c677$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+79%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd3…c8ebbacked Kevin Borjas17c663.83$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.781154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+49.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x64e9…9324backed Kevin Borjas62c619.99$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.63458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Kevin Borjas25c600$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99b1…196abacked Kevin Borjas31c600$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.288861.4%54 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Andre Lima77c598.52$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.2953956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71b4…f97ebacked Kevin Borjas25c561.8$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.355851.7%30 W · 28 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+192.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Andre Lima70c549.24$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.88540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Kevin Borjas24c541.67$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.6718647.3%88 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f49…231dbacked Kevin Borjas19c533.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.013745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Kevin Borjas35c515.84$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.783839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Kevin Borjas19c511$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.357862.8%49 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Andre Lima80c500.5$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.46756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…e8c1backed Kevin Borjas17c486.59$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.874425%11 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x726b…1afebacked Andre Lima21c476.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002552%13 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1507…e175backed Kevin Borjas32c474.4$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.8910746.7%50 W · 57 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Kevin Borjas31c452.77$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.77450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Kevin Borjas62c424.58$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.116552.3%34 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Kevin Borjas24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.67875%6 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+107.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Andre Lima61c400$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24437754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e8a…a117backed Kevin Borjas26c377.31$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+286.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a04…2071backed Kevin Borjas19c376.89$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.899542.1%40 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Kevin Borjas18c376.07$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.822867.9%19 W · 9 L+5.9wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+42.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Kevin Borjas18c360$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29410651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1aa…b4bebacked Kevin Borjas56c358.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.343577.1%27 W · 8 L+6.7wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+27.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed Kevin Borjas41c320$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.41435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Kevin Borjas33c301.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.945560%33 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Kevin Borjas24c294.3$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Andre Lima50c289.96$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4938353.3%204 W · 179 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6f8…7fa1backed Kevin Borjas18c271.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.052646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Andre Lima80c264.1$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.285273.1%38 W · 14 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+40.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8b8c…c014backed Kevin Borjas19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.161618.8%3 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Andre Lima50c261.46$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6812451.6%64 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Kevin Borjas68c250.9$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.394047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83bd…3f07backed Kevin Borjas16c250$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Andre Lima71c246.48$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751978.9%15 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick76cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31cd…8f69backed Kevin Borjas60c244.1$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb73…1e52backed Kevin Borjas37c242.18$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1539452.1%49 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b1…0d02backed Andre Lima42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32f2…ee07backed Andre Lima72c237.06$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Kevin Borjas22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.2751533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Kevin Borjas54c224.27$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.714158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Andre Lima55c216$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.621127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-41.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Kevin Borjas24c212.9$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+18.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Kevin Borjas23c200.15$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.1116955.6%94 W · 75 L+23.8wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+59.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Andre Lima78c200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.851442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-40.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b18…42ecbacked Kevin Borjas20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick26cpaid+75.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Andre Lima77c192.26$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.043548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xded6…f649backed Kevin Borjas21c187.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.899451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Andre Lima14c187.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.23141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf51…8bfabacked Kevin Borjas31c168.43$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.416446.9%30 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Andre Lima62c167$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9414551%74 W · 71 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.