Lol · resolved market
LoL: PCIFIC vs SU Esports - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x534c5355821fe9383a5c9361a29c6072acd90425fb4dda6d6f169ff4b47cc4db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SU Esportsof PCIFIC , SU Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9713…bb64backed SU Esports | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked SU Esports | 78c | 1,200$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed PCIFIC | 23c | 1,189$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.21 | 777 | 46.2%359 W · 418 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed PCIFIC | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SU Esports | 68c | 915.01$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.16 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53da…7603backed PCIFIC | 15c | 700$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 151 | 61.6%93 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e8…3c36backed PCIFIC | 35c | 575.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 180 | 36.1%65 W · 115 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c5…6394backed PCIFIC | 17c | 571.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…2a99backed PCIFIC | 31c | 520$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.6 | 263 | 49%129 W · 134 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed SU Esports | 76c | 475$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…9a5fbacked SU Esports | 64c | 289.83$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.34 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed PCIFIC | 22c | 280$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked PCIFIC | 37c | 272.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 220 | 48.2%106 W · 114 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…e6f5backed PCIFIC | 5c | 240$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed PCIFIC | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed SU Esports | 74c | 220.84$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…4593backed SU Esports | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 279 | 46.2%129 W · 150 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked PCIFIC | 22c | 179.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SU Esports | 71c | 179.44$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed PCIFIC | 30c | 150.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…9f99backed PCIFIC | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 307 | 44%135 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2364…18f2backed SU Esports | 74c | 117$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 90 | 68.9%62 W · 28 L | +13.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…3bdebacked PCIFIC | 34c | 110.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed PCIFIC | 41c | 109.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…d298backed SU Esports | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed PCIFIC | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed SU Esports | 74c | 99.47$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SU Esports | 75c | 97.49$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed SU Esports | 63c | 86.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked PCIFIC | 37c | 85.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed SU Esports | 64c | 79.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae6…426ebacked SU Esports | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…0b99backed SU Esports | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…d34abacked SU Esports | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed SU Esports | 76c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked SU Esports | 75c | 52.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed PCIFIC | 36c | 51.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511d…3633backed SU Esports | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed SU Esports | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 507 | 45%228 W · 279 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked SU Esports | 51c | 43.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed SU Esports | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 405 | 49.1%199 W · 206 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed PCIFIC | 42c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed SU Esports | 63c | 29.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed PCIFIC | 38c | 28.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…2e00backed SU Esports | 65c | 26.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed SU Esports | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed SU Esports | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed SU Esports | 77c | 20.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 283 | 29.7%84 W · 199 L | -32.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed SU Esports | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 168 | 63.7%107 W · 61 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: PCIFIC vs SU Esports - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5)SU Esports won
- Game Handicap: SU (-2.5) vs PCIFIC (+2.5)PCIFIC won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs SU Esports (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsSU Esports won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs SU Esports - Game 1 WinnerSU Esports won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs SU Esports - Game 2 WinnerSU Esports won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs SU Esports - Game 3 WinnerPCIFIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.