Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6c1ad0808bddd563d32d2caa4fdd44abb8dc49226dc3e5ff0599c536332d6d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 32c | 1,078$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.74 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7b…a65cbacked Over | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 65c | 349.59$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.22 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Over | 69c | 345$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 32c | 301.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.42 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 67c | 274.31$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.91 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 32c | 267$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.89 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 32c | 256.74$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 34c | 165$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 52c | 100.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 501 | 45.7%229 W · 272 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Under | 38c | 75.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d77…9b9dbacked Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 49c | 41.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 37c | 39.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 65c | 29.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed Over | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2947…e04fbacked Over | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5)SU Esports won
- Game Handicap: SU (-2.5) vs PCIFIC (+2.5)PCIFIC won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs SU Esports (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsSU Esports won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs SU Esports - Game 1 WinnerSU Esports won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs SU Esports - Game 2 WinnerSU Esports won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs SU Esports - Game 3 WinnerPCIFIC won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs SU Esports - Game 4 WinnerSU Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.