TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

First Blood in Game 2?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
T1of G2 Esports, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,802
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,780

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,802 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xad2b…2a8ebacked G2 Esports3c1,500$45 inLost-$454837.5%18 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70cf…1b41backed G2 Esports3c1,500$45 inLost-$45140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked G2 Esports3c1,000$30 inLost-$30260%0 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68b7…0812backed G2 Esports4c700$28 inLost-$2870%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd2…4cb9backed G2 Esports3c627.77$19 inLost-$18.83280%0 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aae…91c6backed T158c343.92$200 inWon+$143.922548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked G2 Esports42c300$126 inLost-$12690337.5%339 W · 564 L-18.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed G2 Esports47c231.56$108 inLost-$108.282,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6cc…506fbacked G2 Esports47c209.89$98 inLost-$98.153855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked T159c187.77$110 inWon+$77.7763458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed G2 Esports41c183.65$75 inLost-$75.334756.5%196 W · 151 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed T159c127.56$75 inWon+$52.561844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d7…0917backed T161c114.98$70 inWon+$45.011266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd9…0c9abacked T152c99.95$52 inWon+$47.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb0…ae93backed T158c74.21$43 inWon+$31.176338.1%24 W · 39 L-10.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xfecb…5277backed G2 Esports50c69.75$35 inLost-$351050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed08…ed3bbacked G2 Esports48c63.11$30 inLost-$3022444.6%100 W · 124 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8255…4261backed T156c62.09$35 inWon+$27.32933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0536…a40cbacked G2 Esports48c50$24 inLost-$2420933.5%70 W · 139 L-0.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked G2 Esports42c45.02$19 inLost-$18.783957.1%28 W · 367 L-122.2wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-74.1%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0x1e83…81d1backed T158c34.71$20 inWon+$14.714042.5%17 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfaab…82a4backed T158c34.48$20 inWon+$14.4813451.5%69 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4125…268bbacked T159c34.12$20 inWon+$14.122941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed T152c31.01$16 inWon+$14.8996149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked G2 Esports41c28.13$12 inLost-$11.5345444.3%201 W · 253 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.