Asian League · resolved market
Will Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb9823b226a4a0e9a9de5e7986cb825efcd290070c8daa5bd003744f5455345b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 2,960$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.42 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 2,892$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.93 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…168dbacked Yes | 71c | 2,425$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 2,222$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.91 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 31c | 2,191$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.26 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 1,892$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.59 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 25c | 1,539$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.07 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 70c | 1,351$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 30c | 1,340$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.84 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 29c | 1,285$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.53 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed No | 70c | 1,233$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.09 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 19c | 991.7$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.51 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…3d29backed Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 70c | 839.11$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.85 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 36c | 549.88$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.37 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 469.57$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.57 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 63c | 453.72$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.68 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 69c | 354.62$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.44 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 77c | 324$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.36 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 77c | 323.04$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.1 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 236.7$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.89 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Yes | 32c | 189.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.81 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 22c | 136.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 77c | 134.37$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 30c | 131.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.03 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 18c | 130$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 78c | 128.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 56c | 99.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 23c | 76.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 22c | 74.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 23c | 70$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 22c | 68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 78c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 58c | 58.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 70c | 58.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 59c | 51.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 28c | 47.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Yes | 29c | 43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed No | 56c | 39.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 64c | 34.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked No | 37c | 32.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d7…0917backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 78c | 29.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 78c | 25.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 79c | 25.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yes | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 68c | 16.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42fe…b1d0backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 79c | 13.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed No | 79c | 13.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-07-05?No won
- Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.