WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37136848aaf4bd73bf1a051804a7cade4392cb1f5d83c918f6868fa3ddea9d4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Indiana Fever, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 26,634$13,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,122.84 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 20,803$10,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,293.18 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 20,365$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 10,233$5,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,914.26 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 5,900$3,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,832 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 4,937$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.58 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 3,269$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.62 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 3,083$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.91 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 2,426$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.21 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 1,954$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 1,890$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.37 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 1,722$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 1,555$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.29 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 1,484$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics | 42c | 1,269$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.74 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 888$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 689.75$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 537.56$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.79 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…3a41backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 433$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.17 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 332$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.04 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 286.46$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.63 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 265$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 229.24$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Washington Mystics | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 194.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.55 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Indiana Fever | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Washington Mystics | 35c | 173.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 139.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 128.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 111.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 104.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 97.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 82.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 74.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…b4b2backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 70.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 62.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Washington Mystics | 37c | 59.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Washington Mystics | 42c | 42.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…4168backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Indiana Fever | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 35.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 34.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4023…5746backed Washington Mystics | 42c | 33.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f78…e043backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 26.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 26.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 23.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 20.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Washington MysticsIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-4.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.