WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69bbad8d02538d9dfd5e8a8824b3296de4ee66d75871b9140f2ee76667968177
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.99 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 2,475$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.12 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 74c | 900.23$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.3 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Over | 53c | 815.88$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Over | 51c | 681.22$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 22c | 667.74$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.84 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 450.21$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.24 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 41c | 403$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.76 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 360.68$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.64 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over | 53c | 336.28$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.23 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 58c | 302$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.08 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Over | 55c | 208.1$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4023…5746backed Over | 12c | 181.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 43c | 174.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 24c | 81.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 40c | 76.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 44c | 62.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Under | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 51c | 40.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 43c | 36.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 46c | 35.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 35.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…65bbbacked Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Washington MysticsIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-4.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.