WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x966bdb181a549a93cdc690089fd48f970c82a6a0c20c7c0fce82da52dac0ad28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 50c | 16,560$8,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,281.3 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over | 50c | 9,376$4,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,702.23 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 5,218$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.7 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.97 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 2,672$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.59 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 49c | 2,021$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.25 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 8c | 1,809$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.44 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 1,667$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.94 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 77c | 1,355$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.41 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Under | 65c | 1,295$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.43 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 1,142$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.86 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 35c | 1,132$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.38 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 49c | 1,001$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.49 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 51c | 751.1$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.17 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 49c | 739.3$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.26 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Under | 52c | 646.15$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.15 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 3c | 594.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 480$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…e7e2backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 24c | 175.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Over | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 40c | 108.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 52c | 104.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Under | 50c | 89.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…a836backed Under | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 49c | 84.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4023…5746backed Over | 13c | 84.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 39c | 73.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 37c | 67.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…8922backed Over | 35c | 54.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 50c | 52.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 41c | 48.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 42c | 45.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…d790backed Over | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 49c | 44.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 44c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 41c | 42.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…d17abacked Under | 73c | 40.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Over | 42c | 36.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 42c | 34.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…ee61backed Under | 50c | 30.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf128…5584backed Under | 64c | 26.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Washington MysticsIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-4.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.