WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 171.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f6a19e4103c9942c35bdad46c4e4b6a6beb56ac78f3222b9d1bc5aa8621e75b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 52c | 57,139$29,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,678.84 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over | 48c | 52,509$25,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,304.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 48c | 43,547$20,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,902.66 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 52c | 19,232$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,232.46 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 13,568$7,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,556.86 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 52c | 2,739$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.51 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0487…33bdbacked Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 1,162$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.05 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 53c | 849.06$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Under | 33c | 834$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 13c | 646$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 48c | 605.78$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.01 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.66 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 402.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.12 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 324.56$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.61 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 218.68$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.71 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 51c | 172.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e1…7da8backed Over | 50c | 112.26$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 52c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 52c | 63.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked Over | 52c | 55.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 49c | 43.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Under | 49c | 36.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92cc…1bb5backed Under | 32c | 31.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…98f9backed Under | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 22.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 72c | 15.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 171.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 172.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.