Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Durham
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4d74c992d391fa410b17c8931ce4581fe39233c5c09fa664f173cf00642b884
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nottinghamshireof Nottinghamshire, Durham
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Durham | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Durham | 16c | 850.88$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Durham | 17c | 742.86$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.76 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Durham | 26c | 628.53$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.21 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nottinghamshire | 76c | 620.97$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.55 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Durham | 18c | 604.27$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.39 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Durham | 41c | 600$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.66 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Nottinghamshire | 46c | 494$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.52 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Nottinghamshire | 67c | 349$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.96 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Durham | 38c | 246$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Nottinghamshire | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Nottinghamshire | 47c | 207.42$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.93 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Durham | 22c | 170.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…9459backed Nottinghamshire | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Nottinghamshire | 45c | 150.54$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Durham | 19c | 129.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nottinghamshire | 62c | 118.02$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Durham | 15c | 113.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nottinghamshire | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Nottinghamshire | 48c | 92.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa110…9b09backed Nottinghamshire | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Nottinghamshire | 61c | 59.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Nottinghamshire | 64c | 55.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Nottinghamshire | 47c | 54.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Durham | 32c | 53.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Durham | 56c | 43.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Durham | 80c | 40.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…f1a8backed Nottinghamshire | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Durham | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nottinghamshire | 48c | 39.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…5438backed Durham | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Nottinghamshire | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…87d2backed Nottinghamshire | 73c | 34.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Durham | 53c | 33.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Nottinghamshire | 45c | 32.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Nottinghamshire | 46c | 31.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Durham | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Nottinghamshire | 46c | 29.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Nottinghamshire | 71c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nottinghamshire | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Nottinghamshire | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Durham | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.