Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Hampshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcac6213011ee4111b9292943a1c85672aadc7fa7876f70a1843a426a27560527
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hampshireof Middlesex, Hampshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Middlesex | 7c | 4,054$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.02 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Middlesex | 34c | 2,260$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.3 | 461 | 47.7%220 W · 241 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Middlesex | 11c | 1,414$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.66 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Middlesex | 33c | 760.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e66…2cd4backed Middlesex | 6c | 408$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Middlesex | 28c | 389.41$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 221 | 36.2%80 W · 141 L | -24.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Middlesex | 9c | 386.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Middlesex | 32c | 314.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Hampshire | 63c | 259$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 380 | 48.2%183 W · 197 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Hampshire | 68c | 211.38$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Hampshire | 66c | 158.18$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Middlesex | 32c | 136.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…9459backed Hampshire | 78c | 127.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Middlesex | 40c | 112$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Middlesex | 36c | 99.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hampshire | 65c | 85.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 427 | 47.8%204 W · 223 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Middlesex | 36c | 74.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Middlesex | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…a1a9backed Middlesex | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Hampshire | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa110…9b09backed Hampshire | 63c | 47.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Middlesex | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hampshire | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 658 | 50.9%335 W · 323 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Middlesex | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Hampshire | 70c | 38.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hampshire | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…1e46backed Middlesex | 41c | 36.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Hampshire | 75c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 767 | 51.6%396 W · 371 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Middlesex | 35c | 31.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Middlesex | 35c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…f5d4backed Hampshire | 64c | 29.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Hampshire | 64c | 27.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bc…f6cbbacked Hampshire | 50c | 24.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2693…e86dbacked Middlesex | 50c | 24.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Hampshire | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…377dbacked Middlesex | 50c | 21.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…43c3backed Hampshire | 50c | 21.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dc…1318backed Hampshire | 50c | 20.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba85…584fbacked Middlesex | 50c | 20.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hampshire | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 639 | 46.5%297 W · 342 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Hampshirethis page
- T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Hampshire - Who wins the toss?Hampshire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.