TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Libertyof New York Liberty, Toronto Tempo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,497
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,497 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb915…8da5backed Toronto Tempo53c27,426$14,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,586.576848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed New York Liberty47c14,529$6,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,755.9222748.5%110 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Toronto Tempo57c7,075$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00023049.6%114 W · 116 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty47c4,521$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,411.771,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Liberty47c3,682$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.289349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Liberty44c3,291$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.7599548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed New York Liberty46c2,194$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18546247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed New York Liberty49c1,992$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.7910151.5%52 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…6586backed New York Liberty53c1,648$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+46.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Toronto Tempo55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.991752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Liberty48c848.39$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.1640550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty44c700$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39285158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed New York Liberty46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed New York Liberty47c490.01$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.711668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked New York Liberty52c342$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.16955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed New York Liberty62c304$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.634726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Toronto Tempo52c266.66$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0938744.7%173 W · 214 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Tempo48c259.86$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8823245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Tempo46c213$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8550646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Toronto Tempo47c200.76$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3634448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Toronto Tempo43c200$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8511840.7%48 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed New York Liberty49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10220947.4%99 W · 110 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Toronto Tempo49c191.94$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked New York Liberty51c186.94$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.612144.6%54 W · 67 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed New York Liberty48c186.36$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.916835.3%24 W · 44 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf59b…7ab0backed New York Liberty48c186.18$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.18742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Toronto Tempo55c181.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0914136.2%51 W · 90 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Toronto Tempo57c172.19$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.76742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed New York Liberty51c165.62$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.156749.3%33 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty52c146.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.911,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb792…fa38backed Toronto Tempo35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3599…5338backed Toronto Tempo56c142.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed New York Liberty48c133$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.166341.3%26 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed New York Liberty49c128$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.925444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Toronto Tempo55c120.36$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.220642.7%88 W · 118 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Toronto Tempo51c119.76$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617345.2%33 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed New York Liberty48c115.14$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0113745.3%62 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fb…3561backed New York Liberty49c109.1$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Liberty46c108.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1892248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked Toronto Tempo56c97.65$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.452927.6%8 W · 21 L-7.0wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Toronto Tempo53c92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.766145.9%28 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed New York Liberty47c88.4$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.049351.6%48 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed New York Liberty47c88$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6416450%82 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed New York Liberty47c86.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.77759.7%46 W · 31 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Toronto Tempo49c84.87$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7313143.5%57 W · 74 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2815…7f0cbacked Toronto Tempo53c84.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Liberty46c76$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0421150.2%106 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked New York Liberty46c73.84$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.75062%31 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked New York Liberty48c68.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0718844.1%83 W · 105 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked New York Liberty45c67.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9641147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed New York Liberty45c66.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6364152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed New York Liberty48c63.73$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.223644.9%106 W · 130 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc51…245abacked New York Liberty46c61$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.941275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+46.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked New York Liberty47c58.17$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6510935.8%39 W · 70 L-13.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-35.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x15db…1da8backed Toronto Tempo56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18e6…b54abacked Toronto Tempo20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102030%6 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed New York Liberty34c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331457.1%8 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+92.5%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked New York Liberty41c49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.937650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed New York Liberty49c47.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.223943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed New York Liberty49c43.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.382944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa110…9b09backed Toronto Tempo51c42.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Toronto Tempo48c42.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5216745.5%76 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Toronto Tempo54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.63743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Toronto Tempo52c39.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.993636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed New York Liberty51c38.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9334918.3%64 W · 285 L-49.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Liberty49c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5255255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed New York Liberty45c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.134852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed New York Liberty45c34.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7211253.6%60 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed New York Liberty46c33.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.077750.6%39 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef0…25b2backed New York Liberty46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.611163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc08c…4b12backed New York Liberty46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.611435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed New York Liberty48c30.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7510349.5%51 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed New York Liberty67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.910858.3%63 W · 45 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Toronto Tempo55c28.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.941936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2d5…53d0backed New York Liberty51c25.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.651127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-51.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x580d…bc42backed New York Liberty46c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked New York Liberty52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Toronto Tempo51c24.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3919646.9%92 W · 104 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…2147backed Toronto Tempo55c23.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.991931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed New York Liberty45c23.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9318850%94 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Toronto Tempo51c23.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8519245.8%88 W · 104 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed New York Liberty47c21.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.481952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad10…d0a7backed Toronto Tempo48c21.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13bc…f77ebacked New York Liberty50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Toronto Tempo54c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.261030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-46.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.