WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd66405f62236e2a2f6d0f651fafde40e53004b6c623e323874a4ec1c1da2ff3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof New York Liberty, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 12,636$6,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,844.22 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed New York Liberty | 46c | 7,740$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,179.45 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Liberty | 46c | 2,192$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.61 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed New York Liberty | 49c | 2,000$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.29 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo | 54c | 1,919$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.09 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 1,755$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.57 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Liberty | 46c | 1,379$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.74 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed New York Liberty | 46c | 1,073$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.89 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed New York Liberty | 47c | 1,063$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.39 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Liberty | 44c | 1,020$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.43 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked New York Liberty | 46c | 1,000$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Toronto Tempo | 58c | 862.98$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.53 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 700$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Toronto Tempo | 65c | 615.17$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty | 45c | 586.79$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.21 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Toronto Tempo | 54c | 553.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.04 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty | 45c | 455$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.25 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 342.31$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Toronto Tempo | 60c | 333.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Toronto Tempo | 28c | 308.06$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked New York Liberty | 66c | 301.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 280.02$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.61 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed New York Liberty | 40c | 275.87$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.52 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed New York Liberty | 50c | 242.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed New York Liberty | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed New York Liberty | 43c | 182.51$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.03 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Toronto Tempo | 57c | 171.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed New York Liberty | 46c | 152.13$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed New York Liberty | 28c | 139.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 137.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.87 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2e…0433backed New York Liberty | 42c | 134.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 122.05$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 104.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…f9d8backed New York Liberty | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed New York Liberty | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Toronto Tempo | 59c | 94.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -7.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 78.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Toronto Tempo | 34c | 74.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed New York Liberty | 46c | 72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3561backed New York Liberty | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Liberty | 43c | 61.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed New York Liberty | 48c | 57.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Toronto Tempo | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Toronto Tempo | 56c | 50.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed New York Liberty | 39c | 49.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed Toronto Tempo | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed New York Liberty | 43c | 46.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed New York Liberty | 46c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc16…4b2fbacked Toronto Tempo | 56c | 43.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Toronto Tempo | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…7ab0backed New York Liberty | 43c | 40.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed New York Liberty | 42c | 39.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed New York Liberty | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…7f0cbacked Toronto Tempo | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb24…bffdbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed New York Liberty | 42c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…eb85backed Toronto Tempo | 58c | 34.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 53cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…8640backed Toronto Tempo | 58c | 34.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a6…0b06backed Toronto Tempo | 58c | 33.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…3b29backed Toronto Tempo | 58c | 33.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed New York Liberty | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed New York Liberty | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed New York Liberty | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed New York Liberty | 47c | 28.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1216…a8bcbacked New York Liberty | 45c | 27.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa7…086dbacked Toronto Tempo | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…7e33backed New York Liberty | 41c | 24.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Toronto Tempo | 58c | 23.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-10.5)this page
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)New York Liberty won
- Toronto Tempo vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty: O/U 172.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty: O/U 173.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.