WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d95f9efe9a55543ca8968ea3747262778a8ade248c19c7d55e3c267a1041147
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 3,205$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.92 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Over | 53c | 1,999$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.7 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 53c | 1,760$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.93 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 51c | 1,469$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.8 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Under | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 1,028$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.14 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 51c | 948$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 871.17$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.51 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Over | 45c | 844.45$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.45 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 5c | 781.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 52c | 769.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…fe54backed Over | 51c | 658.73$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.02 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 46c | 649.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…ffefbacked Under | 51c | 462.21$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.73 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +8.0wins | +0.42per pick | 37cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Over | 32c | 453.31$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Over | 54c | 407.53$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.46 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 45c | 379$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.55 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 361.78$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.95 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 60c | 267$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.82 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 48c | 150.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 53c | 128.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Under | 48c | 128$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 46c | 124.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 123.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 121.9$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 42c | 110.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 46c | 108.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 99.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Over | 53c | 94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 87.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…2bc3backed Under | 54c | 85.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 58c | 76.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 52c | 76.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 53c | 72.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 40c | 67.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 47c | 67.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 66.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 43c | 59.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 46c | 57.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 55c | 52.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Under | 47c | 47.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 44c | 47.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 55c | 46.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8964…427abacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 54c | 40.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 39.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 52c | 37.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 38c | 30.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…7ab0backed Under | 61c | 29.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0d…36f2backed Under | 59c | 29.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 54c | 28.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 55c | 27.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 56c | 24.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 47c | 23.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -26.1wins | -0.41per pick | 42cpaid | -97.6%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x60ce…3273backed Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc16…4b2fbacked Over | 55c | 19.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5this page
- Spread: New York Liberty (-10.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)New York Liberty won
- Toronto Tempo vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty: O/U 172.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty: O/U 173.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.