TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty: O/U 172.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,824
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,172

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,824 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Over50c10,118$5,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,058.5222748.5%110 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over53c8,000$4,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,769.628447.6%40 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Under50c7,174$3,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5871353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Under47c7,000$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2901118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick51cpaid-64%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Over49c6,088$3,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,085.426848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Under50c5,746$2,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8734763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under49c3,323$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.5313538.5%52 W · 83 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under54c2,300$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.5320947.4%99 W · 110 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over50c2,117$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.3989349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c2,056$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.6346247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over40c1,865$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.471,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c1,734$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.611,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4903458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under54c741.47$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010144.6%45 W · 56 L-13.5wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0972…9d1ebacked Over51c629.41$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.412661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over50c621$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.312860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked Over27c560.37$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.531978.9%15 W · 4 L+8.0wins+0.42per pick37cpaid+163.8%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over54c500$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.59355.9%52 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36e6…ad16backed Over60c413.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Over50c396.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.083743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Over31c389.94$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+92.5%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c389.63$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9210151.5%52 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c308.2$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2426247.7%125 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb980…73b0backed Over47c284.98$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over52c278$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.4436154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under59c261$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.768051.3%41 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Over51c259.7$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.251758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+34.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Under49c255.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.445444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over11c235.23$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.7144915.6%70 W · 379 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under45c228.31$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4661042.5%259 W · 351 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b9…f392backed Over52c214.94$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.94683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+56.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over42c179.11$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.116745.5%76 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under55c169.5$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4410552.4%55 W · 50 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under51c167.63$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4934448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Under60c143.9$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.287041.4%29 W · 41 L-11.1wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-29.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over47c123.76$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.285158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Under54c115.35$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.296640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under59c102.73$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.965949.2%29 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Over49c102$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.026145.9%28 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under52c101.25$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6512144.6%54 W · 67 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4910249%50 W · 52 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b8e…c00dbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over42c97.95$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.181346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick66cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under56c91.15$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9812343.1%53 W · 70 L-11.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under51c84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.847759.7%46 W · 31 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Under60c82.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.31637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under65c81.05$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.463357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under50c78.58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.299044.4%40 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under49c61.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.213143.5%57 W · 74 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.192248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15db…1da8backed Over51c58.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.423745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x658b…ad0fbacked Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.695246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over52c56.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.313346.6%62 W · 71 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x165d…a4d5backed Under60c51.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.821844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1026…e794backed Under60c51.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.821735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick57cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8e0e…704abacked Under60c51.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.821637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-34.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked Under60c51.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.821844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over50c51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3416450%82 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under47c51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9755255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over48c50.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4932948.6%160 W · 169 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27c7…7c43backed Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1216…a8bcbacked Over51c45.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.25475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c45.18$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0499548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over51c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1828447.9%136 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Over48c44.67$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.233444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf59b…7ab0backed Under62c42.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.39742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Over51c40.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8414148.9%69 W · 72 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Over51c34.11$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.713943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over49c32.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.489651%49 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over51c30.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.117750.6%39 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under55c30.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.710349.5%51 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb5…7ce9backed Under63c30.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.17742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef0…25b2backed Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked Over51c28.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.912927.6%8 W · 21 L-7.0wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under59c27.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.16641.6%1 W · 63 L-26.1wins-0.41per pick42cpaid-97.6%equal weight17-0.29 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Under46c25.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.751735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over51c23.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6713256.1%74 W · 58 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Over51c21.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.692944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under50c20.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.381656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4788…6bc3backed Under60c20.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.211442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014944.3%66 W · 83 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc9d…3060backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.