TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc9d…3060

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
30
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 62 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.1wins+0.32per pick61cpaid+52.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.29
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.03
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.55
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.2
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.41
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.04
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.49
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.49
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.87
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.42
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Playoffsbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty: O/U 172.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.