South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33dc4acdeba407164fc8f553e687b9143976728349483af1babd02b0e0458521
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 14c | 14,216$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.78 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked No | 19c | 7,988$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.3 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 14c | 3,147$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.2 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 16c | 2,872$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.57 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 10c | 2,373$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.51 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 20c | 2,300$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.6 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed No | 8c | 1,868$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 16c | 1,563$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.01 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 11c | 1,461$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.69 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 12c | 1,391$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.3 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 19c | 1,366$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…f94dbacked Yes | 78c | 1,339$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked No | 22c | 1,276$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.72 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 18c | 1,205$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.1 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 17c | 1,059$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.34 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked No | 6c | 916.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 17c | 847$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 12c | 827.24$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61e…a10bbacked No | 27c | 751.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.88 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 16c | 690.83$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.53 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed No | 11c | 669.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 16c | 667.57$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.81 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 9c | 658.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 22c | 655$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.1 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 17c | 614.51$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.74 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked No | 12c | 533.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 16c | 398.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…8703backed No | 9c | 390.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 8c | 353.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 78c | 338.63$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 79c | 337.98$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked No | 16c | 292.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 16c | 292.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 9c | 283.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 17c | 275.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 8c | 262.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 15c | 260.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 19c | 252.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…7078backed Yes | 79c | 249.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed No | 18c | 246.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 18c | 205.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 16c | 197.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…be5bbacked Yes | 78c | 184.71$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 16c | 161.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 78c | 134.31$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…da37backed Yes | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 19c | 106.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 78c | 102.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…188fbacked No | 19c | 101.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 79c | 65.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe815…24adbacked Yes | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 21c | 56.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…8b48backed Yes | 73c | 53.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…cb26backed Yes | 70c | 44.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…2ba1backed Yes | 79c | 41.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…3060backed Yes | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.32per pick | 61cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 76c | 29.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Yes | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…8845backed Yes | 79c | 26.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92af…8b55backed Yes | 78c | 24.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…4451backed Yes | 78c | 22.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 78c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 78c | 15.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-16?this page
- Will CR Flamengo vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw?No won
- Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-04-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.