South American Leagues · resolved market
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e6367b36c67c25f3bd6e764b9cdb22fbddb9ea2bcf0b2fe2166f41413d49814
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 5,765$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.13 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Yes | 47c | 5,511$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,921.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Yes | 39c | 2,337$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.48 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 2,248$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.17 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 55c | 2,063$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.26 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 50c | 1,890$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.78 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 52c | 1,494$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.96 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 1c | 1,477$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 65c | 1,380$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.55 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 61c | 1,347$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.24 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…dc4ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,248$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.6 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,147$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.25 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 45c | 1,132$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.44 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,109$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.48 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 52c | 1,033$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 48c | 705.38$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.28 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 51c | 602.62$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.33 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Yes | 50c | 581.98$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.99 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 3c | 556.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 52c | 515.02$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.81 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 54c | 451.23$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.56 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 63c | 445.27$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.15 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 58c | 420.22$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.76 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 7c | 398.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 50c | 392.6$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.3 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Yes | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed Yes | 50c | 363.34$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.67 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed No | 56c | 347.58$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8c…f5e2backed Yes | 45c | 322.33$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 49c | 296$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…6b52backed Yes | 41c | 275.26$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 52c | 258$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.16 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2533…5c8cbacked Yes | 46c | 239.96$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 57c | 238.34$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8638…4c31backed Yes | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 52c | 223.42$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 50c | 220.42$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.81 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 44c | 220.01$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.38 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…387fbacked Yes | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Yes | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…a7d5backed Yes | 50c | 194.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Yes | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed No | 56c | 183.68$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.78 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…cb26backed Yes | 27c | 181.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.62 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…fe43backed Yes | 48c | 172.54$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Yes | 45c | 170.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 45c | 160.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 47c | 156.23$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 50c | 151.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 43c | 140.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.47 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 48c | 136.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Yes | 45c | 133.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.28 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 45c | 128.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Yes | 48c | 127.76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 46c | 124.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c9…b92fbacked Yes | 50c | 124.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb8…d10cbacked Yes | 50c | 119.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 117.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Yes | 50c | 116.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 55c | 111.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…361abacked Yes | 49c | 110.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 14c | 102.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…617cbacked No | 51c | 101.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 48c | 99.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x267d…3852backed Yes | 50c | 99.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…a35abacked Yes | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 41c | 94.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 43c | 91.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Yes | 41c | 87.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 52c | 86.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67fc…722bbacked Yes | 50c | 83.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x978d…e75bbacked Yes | 50c | 82.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 50c | 81.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…cfc2backed No | 51c | 79.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…b7adbacked Yes | 50c | 78.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…4b6dbacked Yes | 48c | 75.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…e7c2backed Yes | 47c | 73.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…ae72backed Yes | 45c | 73.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Yes | 50c | 71.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes | 48c | 69.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7a…5a89backed Yes | 49c | 69.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 46c | 63.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf229…8583backed Yes | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 49c | 61.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 34c | 61.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 73c | 60.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…3965backed Yes | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…fc42backed Yes | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…0056backed Yes | 45c | 53.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 36c | 53.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will São Paulo FC vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.