Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Hikaru Sato vs Wushuang Zheng
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5df04235d734b02e2378610c786ea1f21ce8be26a0d0c9dfd5000d9453a22f0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hikaru Satoof Hikaru Sato, Wushuang Zheng
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Wushuang Zheng | 27c | 2,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Wushuang Zheng | 46c | 1,002$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.76 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Wushuang Zheng | 9c | 645.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Hikaru Sato | 75c | 418.28$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.57 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…f719backed Wushuang Zheng | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Wushuang Zheng | 3c | 399.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Hikaru Sato | 72c | 366.76$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Hikaru Sato | 54c | 366.57$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.62 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Hikaru Sato | 57c | 307.4$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.18 | 332 | 53.6%178 W · 154 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Hikaru Sato | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Hikaru Sato | 71c | 282.85$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.54 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Hikaru Sato | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Hikaru Sato | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Hikaru Sato | 75c | 243.07$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Wushuang Zheng | 12c | 208.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hikaru Sato | 72c | 200.03$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Wushuang Zheng | 43c | 184.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…8c11backed Wushuang Zheng | 43c | 175$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…20e4backed Hikaru Sato | 57c | 175$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 102 | 64.7%66 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hikaru Sato | 58c | 163.95$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Wushuang Zheng | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hikaru Sato | 73c | 127.84$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Wushuang Zheng | 30c | 120.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa110…9b09backed Hikaru Sato | 58c | 85.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Hikaru Sato | 47c | 76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hikaru Sato | 66c | 71.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…0b4dbacked Wushuang Zheng | 43c | 69.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Hikaru Sato | 55c | 66.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Hikaru Sato | 61c | 51.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Hikaru Sato | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Wushuang Zheng | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Wushuang Zheng | 28c | 41.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Hikaru Sato | 75c | 40.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Hikaru Sato | 57c | 38.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Hikaru Sato | 57c | 35.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Wushuang Zheng | 61c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Wushuang Zheng | 44c | 27.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Hikaru Sato | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…fd00backed Hikaru Sato | 67c | 22.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Hikaru Sato | 57c | 21.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.