Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57f49908341770df1291bad965a37eb5aeb33081386be478813ff288ef8a7832
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63cc…eec5backed Yes | 0c | 5,871$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked Yes | 10c | 1,600$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 4c | 1,445$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 2c | 950$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 73 | 13.7%10 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Yes | 16c | 781.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.12 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 27c | 514.89$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.21 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 78c | 472.6$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.21 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5359…6b35backed Yes | 16c | 403.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +70%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 74c | 363.31$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 71c | 361.61$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.85 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 10c | 352.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d99…62a8backed Yes | 16c | 333.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 79c | 309.83$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 13c | 298.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 23c | 297.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…8d1cbacked Yes | 31c | 287.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 19c | 273.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf827…ca4fbacked Yes | 29c | 268.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 8c | 268$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ca…59eebacked Yes | 17c | 265.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -11.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 20c | 259.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 11c | 250$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 34c | 229.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 6c | 209.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 70c | 208.26$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 29c | 205.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3986…71fcbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x808c…0aa2backed Yes | 18c | 192.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked No | 76c | 185.75$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 12c | 182$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 8c | 169.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x342c…de11backed Yes | 14c | 160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Yes | 13c | 159.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 68c | 154.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…fbe4backed Yes | 9c | 150.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…0af7backed No | 67c | 149.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 328 | 72%236 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 27c | 146$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 15c | 144.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…f829backed Yes | 22c | 134.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…df9abacked Yes | 36c | 133.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…42b1backed Yes | 9c | 132.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 32c | 128$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…ab49backed Yes | 35c | 123.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 16c | 122.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 11c | 120.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 66c | 109.17$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked No | 71c | 105$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 67c | 104.54$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 19c | 93.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 78c | 92.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 15c | 85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 19c | 78.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5221…bd4dbacked Yes | 32c | 77.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 21c | 77.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 73c | 76.84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…44adbacked Yes | 25c | 76.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 33c | 73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 76c | 72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0605…1593backed Yes | 15c | 71.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054c…0a1abacked Yes | 17c | 70.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 71c | 69.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…673ebacked No | 69c | 66.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x376c…41acbacked Yes | 29c | 65.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…3fb7backed Yes | 30c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75f…f98bbacked No | 66c | 63.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 71c | 63.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 74c | 63.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 32c | 61.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 36c | 61.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 66c | 53.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…a381backed Yes | 30c | 51.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ede…3e6ebacked Yes | 35c | 44.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 43.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked No | 71c | 43.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 34c | 42.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 76c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…dbffbacked Yes | 36c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 33c | 40.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…02babacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5504…a960backed Yes | 32c | 39.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f92…7e2abacked No | 70c | 38.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 72c | 38.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 67c | 37.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…3300backed Yes | 35c | 36.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x998a…745bbacked No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db6…e1f8backed No | 67c | 34.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa66…1c5bbacked No | 67c | 34.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 34c | 34.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 63c | 34.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 71c | 30.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 73c | 30.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 278 | 52.9%147 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.