Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x096014b6e8a44268226bb41f7203881af6c88c57726887c1a558f170809a404f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 2c | 6,279$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.51 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,522$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 17c | 1,473$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.1 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 38c | 1,189$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.04 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…69e7backed Yes | 2c | 1,058$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 5c | 700$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 10c | 658.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 27c | 615.91$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.16 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 36c | 588.37$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.54 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 71c | 460.09$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.36 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 453.6$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.06 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32af…a7c3backed Yes | 32c | 399.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.73 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…f2febacked Yes | 36c | 356.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.67 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 73c | 353.05$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 29c | 333.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 7c | 332.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 64c | 276.76$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 12c | 271.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 71c | 269.36$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 38c | 263.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 20c | 258.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ca…59eebacked No | 65c | 230.85$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -11.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked No | 63c | 189$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 6c | 186.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 76c | 182.03$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 13c | 178.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 66c | 178.3$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 146.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 34c | 145.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 69c | 144.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…b2c4backed No | 59c | 131.95$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 66c | 117.14$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579d…247cbacked Yes | 19c | 113.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 37c | 110.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 34c | 107$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 26c | 102.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 20c | 101.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 71c | 98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 75c | 94.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 69c | 92.62$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 79c | 82.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e58…3525backed No | 61c | 81.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d9…19f8backed No | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 63c | 76.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 38c | 74.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 64c | 74.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 35c | 71.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…a1a5backed No | 72c | 69.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed Yes | 37c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 76c | 63.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca2…fa31backed Yes | 18c | 63.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…1ea8backed No | 64c | 61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 79c | 57.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed Yes | 43c | 54.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 79c | 53.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 79c | 53.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 35c | 52.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 41c | 51.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…e17ebacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed No | 65c | 43.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d99…62a8backed No | 68c | 40.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x808c…0aa2backed No | 62c | 40.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…e07dbacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 63c | 38.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 548 | 53.1%291 W · 257 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 61c | 36.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed34…2309backed No | 59c | 36.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…a786backed No | 69c | 35.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 376 | 69.4%261 W · 115 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 66c | 33.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 63c | 32.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…3ca8backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…422dbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 78c | 29.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 156 | 69.2%108 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 73c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb7…6f64backed Yes | 40c | 26.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 64c | 25.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 63c | 25.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…e382backed No | 65c | 23.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef11…a7a1backed No | 72c | 20.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf6…cebcbacked No | 78c | 19.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…cc5ebacked No | 78c | 19.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 156 | 66%103 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…50b3backed No | 72c | 16.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 77c | 15.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 68c | 15.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.