Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xada1fe28be76db1ed7d50c099bfd507fa5f1f26f8e3f6cbf8a05d9f690bb4873
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 20c | 5,200$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 45c | 2,410$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.6 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 68c | 1,520$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.76 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed No | 2c | 758.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 40c | 612.43$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.46 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 79c | 500.19$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.22 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…89d9backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…0bfdbacked Yes | 39c | 476.67$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 63c | 472.6$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.08 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 32c | 436.73$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.98 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 33c | 355.47$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.02 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…c701backed No | 20c | 346.91$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 32c | 335.25$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.49 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 44c | 333.19$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.14 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 30c | 329.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 53c | 325.37$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.86 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 23c | 314.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.51 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ca…59eebacked No | 57c | 299.72$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.17 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -11.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 32c | 290.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.04 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 68c | 290$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.1 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 61c | 266.19$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.71 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…f2febacked Yes | 65c | 226.77$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.49 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 66c | 222.41$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.06 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 40c | 218.28$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.6 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 40c | 215$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.75 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62c…adc5backed No | 66c | 203.87$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.21 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…f087backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 244 | 32.8%80 W · 164 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 69c | 187.79$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bee…e91ebacked Yes | 37c | 150.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 37c | 150$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 25c | 146.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 33c | 146.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.91 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 143.39$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 140.47$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 77c | 139.18$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 66c | 135.69$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db6…e1f8backed No | 33c | 130.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 125.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.53 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 61c | 120.23$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 63c | 117.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 66c | 115.07$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 59c | 115$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 12c | 114.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…05fbbacked Yes | 42c | 111.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 33c | 107$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 21c | 106.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 63c | 106$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 34c | 103.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.49 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0d…3e25backed Yes | 78c | 102.02$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 63c | 100.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 30c | 100.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2af3…c472backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…ec8ebacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86cc…f46ebacked No | 61c | 98.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 96.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 64c | 92.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca2…fa31backed Yes | 35c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 11c | 89.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.23 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 63c | 89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 58c | 86.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…4331backed No | 63c | 85.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 23c | 81.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 36c | 80.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x342c…de11backed Yes | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 59c | 79.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a1…a453backed Yes | 34c | 76.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 34c | 76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 36c | 74.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 64c | 73.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15c0…befdbacked Yes | 40c | 69.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 38c | 67.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x376c…41acbacked Yes | 44c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 36c | 64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 64c | 63.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbf…b9edbacked Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…388cbacked No | 77c | 61.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed No | 73c | 59.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 35c | 57.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ce…b36fbacked Yes | 43c | 57.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…2112backed No | 66c | 57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 19c | 55.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 77c | 54.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 257 | 66.1%170 W · 87 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 74c | 54.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 66c | 54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 28c | 53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a1…a85ebacked No | 67c | 52.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 73c | 52.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed No | 61c | 51.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…a786backed No | 48c | 50.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 376 | 69.4%261 W · 115 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.