Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c5342f7fa5524c11a51f3f711f553a66689c5a2cabf433b21d6705162780a8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Over | 33c | 10,000$3,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,276.3 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 67c | 9,047$6,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,985.5 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 28c | 1,175$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.07 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Under | 72c | 1,075$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Under | 69c | 729.99$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.3 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…0c86backed Over | 31c | 645.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Under | 72c | 610.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.18 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 33c | 324.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f1…0bb3backed Over | 31c | 315.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 69c | 218.59$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Over | 13c | 119.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Under | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 69c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 238 | 80.3%191 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Under | 72c | 51.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 67c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7884…1fb0backed Under | 71c | 28.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…50b3backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe052…fa71backed Under | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 539 | 55.1%297 W · 242 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier PlayoffsHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.