TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,749
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,554

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,749 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bfc…ce53backed Over57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.914158.2%82 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under32c7,329$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,983.891,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c6,927$3,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.872,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc623…5808backed Under33c4,054$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,722.912446%57 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Under43c3,922$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,235.312840.6%52 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Over68c3,081$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,095.216047.5%76 W · 84 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Over66c3,009$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.0615148.3%73 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under70c2,430$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.752,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Over69c2,365$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.8510949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Under34c1,786$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.831758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over15c1,758$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6719553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over68c1,621$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10259248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under30c1,576$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.521,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Over67c1,142$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.4324835.1%87 W · 161 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf964…a4cebacked Over67c1,002$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.336136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Under31c799.99$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.9941343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Over56c727.46$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.2647047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under39c719.63$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.031,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over32c671.85$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.691,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3402,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under33c499.96$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.9715748.4%76 W · 81 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over38c495.81$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.293,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65c9…cf56backed Over68c492.18$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.332969%20 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Under50c484.12$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.2232755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Under42c476.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.4656432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a0c…38edbacked Over67c467.16$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.43per pick56cpaid-82.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under33c466.6$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.6252750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over69c404.02$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.731,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Over58c332$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9228250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under34c331.56$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.2537948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc926…8058backed Under50c325.42$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7925560.8%155 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under34c300.65$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.786144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Under42c289$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.1412545.6%57 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f32…9d71backed Over70c287.08$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.82450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Under41c280.56$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7324235.5%86 W · 156 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under48c280.04$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8134834.2%119 W · 229 L-39.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked Under50c266$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1338949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Under43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.563959%23 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+26.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under32c220$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.460849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13274637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80e1…8a22backed Over70c198.6$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.771656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Under37c191.93$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7644743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under30c184.7$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2918336.6%67 W · 116 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Over67c182.06$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9867763.4%429 W · 248 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under30c176$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.846452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb03b…4197backed Over68c153.69$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.215437%20 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3023…12fdbacked Over68c148.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001957.9%11 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Over68c147.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Over68c147.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018640.9%76 W · 110 L-14.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2bef…b47cbacked Over68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007770.1%54 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Under37c136.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1618555.1%102 W · 83 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9e2…68f1backed Over68c129.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3921256.1%119 W · 93 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa98d…dff6backed Over58c126$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.524060%24 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over73c124.3$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7152543.8%230 W · 295 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Under34c122.34$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3242348.2%204 W · 219 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under59c121.3$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7312454%67 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x592c…2824backed Under44c118.72$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.572050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Under44c114.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6163458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99ef…184dbacked Under46c109.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.717953.1%95 W · 84 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Under34c107.53$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.279441.5%39 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b85…c314backed Over69c106.32$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.268065%52 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Over69c104.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Under34c104.29$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.831020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-52.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc304…4e30backed Over68c103.07$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.992552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Over69c101.3$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023057.8%133 W · 97 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6831650.3%159 W · 157 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbbb…5693backed Over68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.994337.2%16 W · 27 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over68c99.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9815635.9%56 W · 100 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c04…7dcabacked Over67c99.95$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.973560%21 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under43c99.23$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.562,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over67c97.22$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1449847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x086c…4932backed Over67c89.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.277154.9%39 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over56c85.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.792,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Over65c77.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6682161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe7…9323backed Over67c74.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Under34c74.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0539445.2%178 W · 216 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05b9…6b86backed Under34c71.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.345945.8%27 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over64c70$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.761256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under34c68.17$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9920036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Under69c66.67$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.679668.8%66 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under31c57.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7428559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under51c55.8$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.432,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c54.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.332,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Over55c50.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0335755.7%199 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcb…374bbacked Over69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.51020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-55.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed Over67c49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.836342.9%27 W · 36 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-24.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd5d…241cbacked Under34c47.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.11741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Under43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.518042.5%34 W · 46 L-13.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-27.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5ee8…b7b6backed Over33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510347.6%49 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55b5…1ec0backed Under76c41.61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.161471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Over73c41.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011258%65 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…2548backed Under34c41.06$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.231353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22bc…b0b2backed Over68c39.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3773…e51bbacked Over67c39.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7918743.3%81 W · 106 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe64d…73bebacked Over67c37.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-64.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x42f3…7d20backed Under43c34.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.726446.9%30 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under31c34.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.61,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa05…fed7backed Over70c34.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410363.1%65 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under59c33.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.561,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.